OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Open$103Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 18% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES18¢
NO83¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESCGTN America98%match15¢+20%
OpenAI on Wednesday, Dec. 10, warned that its upcoming artificial intelligence (AI) models could pose a "high" cybersecurity risk, as their capabilities advance rapidly. The AI models might either develop working zero-day remote exploits against well-defended systems or assist…
Where does the news lean?
3YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.