OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Open$300Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO87¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
OpenAI's CFO just said something IPO investors should hear. • OpenAI's CFO told employees it will list in 2027, or sooner. Here is what the growth and the $12.3 billion loss mean before an IPO.
OpenAI CFO: IPO planned for 2027, but could be brought forward if business growth accelerates.
OpenAI plans IPO next year… Allows Antropic to overtake it in revenue for the first time
OpenAI plans IPO next year… Allows Antropic to overtake it in revenue for the first time
OpenAI CFO: “Pushing for IPO next year… No problem even if later than Antropics”
OpenAI CFO: "Will go public next year... It's okay if it's later than Antropics"
OpenAI 'will be a public company in 2027' or sooner, CFO Friar tells employees
OpenAI CFO Sarah Fryer told employees at a meeting Wednesday that the company will go public in 2027, with the possibility of an earlier IPO if its business continues to grow, according to CNBC. The company, which owns the ChatGPT app, filed a confidential IPO application in June but has not officially announced a date. #Arabic_Business
Scoop: OpenAI ‘will be a public company in 2027’ or sooner, CFO Friar tells employees at an all-hands mtg • • Sources in the room say execs shared details of OAI revenue ramp quarter-to-date (up 35%, enterprise up 50%). Full @CNBC piece w/ @ashleycapoot: •
Scoop: OpenAI ‘will be a public company in 2027’ or sooner, CFO Friar tells employees at an all-hands mtg • • Sources in the room say execs shared details of OAI revenue ramp in the quarter (up 35%, enterprise up 50%). Full @CNBC piece w/ @ashleycapoot: •
OpenAI's CFO reportedly told employees that the company will • • "be a public company in 2027" - CNBC
OpenAI 'will be a public company in 2027' or sooner, CFO Friar tells employees
OpenAI sales growth slows, unnerving investors ahead of planned IPO
OpenAI's major pre-IPO moves revealed: $7 billion in employee stock buybacks, $852 billion valuation unchanged.
Polymarket gives OpenAI a 25% chance of a $1T+ IPO before 2027. $265K wagered. • • Spiked to ~35% recently before pulling back. [attach screenshot]
YESStocktwits98%match26¢-50%
OpenAI discussing raising tens of billions at ~$750 billion valuation, according to The Information. Sam trying to catch up to @elonmusk and SpaceX…
YESBloomberg99%match25¢-48%
OpenAI has held funding talks with investors to raise tens of billions of dollars at a valuation of $750 billion, according to a report in the Information
NOtradfi news98%match75¢+16%
[Replying to @tradfi] > *OPENAI DISCUSSING RAISING UP TO $100B AT $750B VALUATION: THE INFORMATION *NEW VALUATION 50% HIGHER THAN LAST OCTOBER'S SHARE SALE: THE INFORMATION
NOunusual_whales98%match77¢+13%
[Replying to @unusual_whales] The latest from HSBC: even with explosive growth in users and rising revenue forecasts, OpenAI will still be operating in the red by 2030. Read more: > "OpenAI won’t make money by 2030 and still needs to come up with another $207 billion to power its growth plans," per FORTUNE
NOunusual_whales98%match78¢+12%
"OpenAI won’t make money by 2030 and still needs to come up with another $207 billion to power its growth plans," per FORTUNE
Where does the news lean?
15YES27NO21neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.