OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Open$317Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
22 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
OpenAI Postpones IPO, Discussing 40 Trillion Won Investment
Altman says OpenAI will delay its IPO until it overcomes safety concerns
[UPDATE] Altman says OpenAI will delay its IPO until it overcomes safety concerns (first reported at 2026-09-29T17:15:00Z)
Altman Says OpenAI Investors Patient On IPO Amid Safety Focus – BBG • •
Live: Safety concerns forced delay of OpenAI's IPO
OpenAI CFO offers calming message amid AI slowdown fears. • OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar told CNBC's Jim Cramer a slower AI race won't affect the company's value, with a 2027 IPO and $600B spending plan on track.
NONews92%match94¢+3%
*OPENAI COULD DELAY IPO IF IT TAKES FRESH FUNDING ROUND
Sam Altman says OpenAI’s IPO window has been pushed to 2027—but markets aren’t the culprit
OpenAI is pumping the brakes on its IPO as concerns about AI safety ramp up. • • CEO Sam Altman says they're "not rushing" to take the company public and that OpenAI won't launch its IPO in 2026, calling now "an ill-advised moment" as it focuses on AI safety and alignment. • • The comments come as concerns over advanced AI continue to grow, including a warning from former Anthropic and OpenAI researcher Jacob Coxon, who claimed the race toward superintelligence could put society at risk. • • Tech leaders have also increasingly aligned around slowing AI development, while President Trump has, for now, dismissed calls for a slowdown. • • @FoxNewsAI
OpenAI is pumping the brakes on its IPO as concerns about AI safety ramp up. • • CEO Sam Altman says they're "not rushing" to take the company public and that OpenAI won't launch its IPO in 2026, calling now "an ill-advised moment" as it focuses on AI safety and alignment. • • The comments come as concerns over advanced AI continue to grow, including a warning from former Anthropic and OpenAI researcher Jacob Coxon, who claimed the race toward superintelligence could put society at risk. • • Tech leaders have also increasingly aligned around slowing AI development, while President Trump has, for now, dismissed calls for a slowdown.
Investors Will Have To Wait For OpenAI's Blockbuster IPO. Sam Altman Says AI Safety Comes First.. • The ChatGPT maker raised $122 billion this year at an $852 billion valuation, but Altman says 2026 is the wrong time to enter public markets.
Sam Altman says OpenAI won't go public in 2026 amid AI safety concerns
Altman says "IPO now is inappropriate"... OpenAI rules out possibility of listing this year
OpenAI IPO Delayed to 2027; Sam Altman Raises the Basis for AI Safety
OpenAI's Altman won't do IPO this year, calls AI extinction risk 'unacceptable'
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman spoke about the company's IPO plans — Considering all the developments in security, I don't think now is a good time to go public. — I find it unacceptable to take on a risk of about 10 percent that could lead to everyone's death by the end of the decade. — The IPO will not happen in 2026; there are things that need to be done regarding security. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei also called on companies to "slow down the pace of developing AI models" as concerns about controlling AI systems increase.
OpenAI “No IPO in 2026”… Prioritizing AI Safety
OpenAI Isn’t Going Public This Year, Sam Altman Says. • Wall Street was poised for a massive OpenAI IPO by the end of the year—but the CEO says that’s not happening.
OpenAI 'will be a public company in 2027' or sooner, CFO Friar tells employees
OpenAI's CFO reportedly told employees that the company will • • "be a public company in 2027" - CNBC
Polymarket gives OpenAI a 25% chance of a $1T+ IPO before 2027. $265K wagered. • • Spiked to ~35% recently before pulling back. [attach screenshot]
NOtradfi news98%match75¢+29%
[Replying to @tradfi] > *OPENAI DISCUSSING RAISING UP TO $100B AT $750B VALUATION: THE INFORMATION *NEW VALUATION 50% HIGHER THAN LAST OCTOBER'S SHARE SALE: THE INFORMATION
Where does the news lean?
15YES68NO25neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.