Obama divorce before 2027?
Closed$2Kas of
Odds now
Trading is closed. The market last priced a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.