Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Open$162Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
REMINDER FROM PUTIN: • • “There is one pipe left of Nord Stream 2, it's not damaged and can deliver 27.5 trillion cubic meters of gas. • • It only takes a decision from the German government today and tomorrow we turn on the tap, but they aren’t making it because Washington says no.” • • Germany’s energy crisis is partly self-inflicted. • • A call to Russia could ease costs, but pride and anti-Russian rhetoric block a simple solution.
NOReuters99%match89¢+9%
Gazprom delivers first post-sanctions LNG cargo from Portovaya to China, data shows
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.