No-confidence vote against Spain PM SanchezDecember 31
Open$4Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 19% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES19¢
NO81¢
as of
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.