Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leaderMarch 31, 2027
Open$6Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 21% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES21¢
NO80¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Farage set to headline Reform party conference
Where does the news lean?
3YES11NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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See all outcomes for Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.