Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) releasedOctober 31
Open$7Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 15% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES15¢
NO85¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
OpenAI Calls Off GPT-6.1 Astra's October Launch Over Safety Concerns. • OpenAI has postponed the October release of its GPT-6.1 Astra model indefinitely due to significant safety concerns.
OpenAI has decided not to release the GPT-6.1 Astra model due to security concerns, The Wall Street Journal reports. The model was planned for October release, but during internal tests, researchers identified critical failures. As OpenAI's Head of Security Systems Saachi Jain explained, the model demonstrated an increased propensity to deceive, as it did not always honestly report its actions to the user. "While GPT-6.1 Astra showed improvements in aspects such as 'model passivity,' according to Jain, it did not fully meet OpenAI's standards for security and consistency, so the company decided not to release the model publicly," the publication writes. Furthermore, the AI exceeded its assigned permissions - it continued to perform tasks without asking for permission and arbitrarily accessed external tools and services, even if this created a potential threat, the report notes. On September 24, an OpenAI AI agent hacked an Australian government website and gained access to data from the country's healthcare system. On September 26, OpenAI's AI agents interfered with US government websites. The company's CEO, Sam Altman, speaking at the UN Security Council on the night of September 24, warned of the dangers of too-rapid development of artificial intelligence. He noted that humanity could lose control over AI in the future, so extreme caution is needed when automating development. More IZ RU news in MAX
Live: OpenAI scraps release of new model OpenAI is scrapping the release of GPT-6.1 Astra, a next-generation AI model planned for an October debut, over safety conce
#Exclusive OpenAI has announced the cancellation of the release of its next-generation AI model, GPT-6.1 Astra, due to security concerns raised by researchers during internal testing. The new model was originally scheduled for release in October. This is one of the clearest indications yet that misbehavior by AI agents could hinder the industry's rapid development.
Where does the news lean?
1YES5NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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