New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Open$245Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES10¢
NO91¢
as of
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.