Netanyahu outDecember 31
Open$2.2Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 49% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES49¢
NO52¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu passes the "strength test" in the Knesset primaries. The results maintain his influence within Likud while sidelining his rivals, and Ben-Gvir announces his support for some candidates despite being outside the party.
Netanyahu won by six votes
“There’s work to be done” in Iran, Netanyahu says
NONews98%match56¢-9%
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's schedule for Memorial Day, Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 4th of Iyar 5786:
Netanyahu: They wanted to surround us with a ring of fire, so we created a ring of security.
Netanyahu says Hezbollah planned to conquer the Galilee, insists Israel ‘will deal with’ Hamas
Israel has more objectives to achieve, Netanyahu says after ceasefire
Netanyahu: We have achieved great accomplishments and Iran is weaker than ever
Netanyahu: Our achievements in Iran were phenomenal
Netanyahu: The battle with Iran is not over, but we have achieved great accomplishments.
Netanyahu: The battle with Iran is not over, but we have achieved great accomplishments.
Where does the news lean?
5YES21NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Netanyahu out — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.