What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit by end of December?↓ $18,000
Open$104as of
Odds now
The market prices a 28% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES28¢
NO72¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
S&P 500 TARGET RAISED ON AI MOMENTUM • • JPMORGAN STRATEGISTS LED BY DUBRAVKO LAKOS-BUJAS LIFTED THEIR YEAR-END S&P 500 TARGET TO 7,600 (FROM 7,200), SUGGESTING ~7% UPSIDE FROM MONDAY’S 7,109 CLOSE. THE UPGRADE REFLECTS STRONG TECH AND AI PROSPECTS, WITH EARLY Q1 EARNINGS BEATING EXPECTATIONS AND OFFSETTING GEOPOLITICAL CONCERNS. OPTIMISM IS ALSO DRIVEN BY ANTHROPIC’S MYTHOS MODEL, WITH 66% OF AI-RELATED STOCKS OUTPERFORMING SINCE ITS LAUNCH. A QUICK EASING OF MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS COULD PUSH THE INDEX TOWARD 8,000, THOUGH SHORT-TERM VOLATILITY REMAINS LIKELY. ...
S&P 500 TARGET RAISED ON AI MOMENTUM • • JPMorgan strategists led by Dubravko Lakos-Bujas lifted their year-end S&P 500 target to 7,600 (from 7,200), suggesting ~7% upside from Monday’s 7,109 close. The upgrade reflects strong tech and AI prospects, with early Q1 earnings beating expectations and offsetting geopolitical concerns. Optimism is also driven by Anthropic’s Mythos model, with 66% of AI-related stocks outperforming since its launch. A quick easing of Middle East tensions could push the index toward 8,000, though short-term volatility remains likely.
Where does the news lean?
1YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.
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