Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

OpenVol$1KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 12% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES12¢
NO89¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOaljadeednews99%match50¢+76%
Al-Hazzaa visits Prime Minister Salam at the Government Palace Prime Minister Nawaf Salam received the Chargé d'Affaires of the Syrian Arab Embassy, Iyad al-Hazzaa, in the presence of Deputy Prime Minister Tarek Mitri. They discussed practical steps to follow up on the results of Prime Minister Salam's visit to Damascus, based on the shared interests of the two countries. @nawafsalam @AlhazzaEya30821
NOaljadeednews99%match50¢+76%
Salam receives Al-Hazzaa at the Government Palace Prime Minister Nawaf Salam received the Chargé d'Affaires of the Syrian Arab Embassy, Iyad al-Hazzaa, in the presence of Deputy Prime Minister Tarek Mitri. They discussed practical steps to follow up on the results of Prime Minister Salam's visit to Damascus, based on the shared interests of the two countries. @nawafsalam @AlhazzaEya30821
NOaljadeednews99%match49¢+80%
Prime Minister Dr. Nawaf Salam received the Saudi Ambassador Dr. Walid Bukhari and commended his significant efforts in strengthening bilateral relations between Lebanon and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, as well as the pivotal role he played during a critical period in our nation's history. @bukhariwaleeed
NOalarabytv99%match50¢+76%
#Breaking | Lebanese Prime Minister's Office: Salam stressed the importance of pressuring Israel to stop its aggression in order to consolidate the ceasefire.
NOAl Araby99%match50¢+76%
The Lebanese Prime Minister's office: Salam stressed the importance of pressuring Israel to stop its aggression in order to consolidate the ceasefire.
NOalarabiya99%match50¢+76%
Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam told Al Arabiya: "The top figures of the Assad regime are not in Lebanon; most of them are in Russia and other countries. We have a number of others, and we will work to prevent them from using Beirut as a platform to attack Damascus or organize any political or military action against it."
NOalhadath99%match50¢+76%
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa received Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam at the head of a delegation at the People's Palace in Damascus to strengthen bilateral relations and develop economic and trade cooperation between the two countries. The event:
NOalarabiya98%match50¢+76%
Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam announces the launch of a Lebanese-Syrian Business Council during his visit to Damascus, which will hold its first meeting soon.
NOAsharq99%match51¢+73%
Nawaf Salam from Damascus: We will not allow Lebanon to be used again as a platform to harm our Arab brothers, especially Syria.
NOfirstsquawk99%match51¢+73%
Nawaf Salam: Our discussion with the Syrian side concerns the mechanisms for following up on the implementation of the prisoner transfer agreement.
NOSky News Arabia98%match51¢+73%
Statement by Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam at the conclusion of his visit to Damascus
NOmarketnews_feed98%match51¢+73%
NAWAF SALAM: MY VISIT TO DAMASCUS CAME TO WORK ON STRENGTHENING BILATERAL RELATIONS ACROSS VARIOUS LEVELS, AND THE RESULTS OF THE VISIT WILL APPEAR SOON. ...
NOAl Hadath98%match51¢+73%
The Lebanese Prime Minister, speaking from Damascus, said: "We continue to work on strengthening our relations with Syria."
NOState-Run Al Ekhbariya TV99%match51¢+73%
News correspondent briefing on the arrival of a Lebanese delegation headed by Prime Minister Nawaf Salam at Damascus International Airport #SyrianNews
NOmarketnews_feed99%match49¢+80%
ARRIVAL OF LEBANESE PRIME MINISTER NAWAF SALAM AT THE PEOPLE'S PALACE IN DAMASCUS ...
NOfirstsquawk99%match49¢+80%
Arrival of Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam at the People's Palace in Damascus
NOState-Run Al Ekhbariya TV99%match49¢+80%
News correspondent: Lebanese Prime Minister Dr. Nawaf Salam and his deputy Tarek Mitri arrive at Damascus Airport They were received by the Director of the Arab Affairs Department at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Dr. Muhammad Taha Al-Ahmad, and the Chargé d'Affaires of the Syrian Embassy in Beirut, Iyad Al-Hazzaa #SyrianNews
NOalarabytv99%match50¢+76%
#Breaking | Al-Araby TV correspondent: Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has arrived in the Syrian capital, Damascus
NOAl Araby99%match50¢+76%
Al-Arabiya TV correspondent: Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has arrived in the Syrian capital, Damascus.
NOAsharq99%match37¢+138%
Nawaf Salam: We need internal Lebanese negotiations to extend state authority, monopolize weapons, and implement the Homeland Shield plan.

Where does the news lean?

0YES67NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related markets