Moscow air traffic suspendedAugust 31
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$5Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESNews99%match73¢+37%
TEMPORARY RESTRICTIONS HAVE BEEN LIFTED AT VNUKOVO AND DOMODEDOVO AIRPORTS - ROSAVIATSIYA
YESNews99%match81¢+23%
Temporary restrictions at Sheremetyevo Airport have been URGENTLY lifted – Rosaviatsia
YESNews99%match81¢+23%
TEMPORARY RESTRICTIONS HAVE BEEN LIFTED AT SHEREMETYEVO AIRPORT - ROSAVIATSIYA
NONews99%match15¢-100%
Domodedovo Airport receives and dispatches flights by agreement with the Federal Air Transport Agency.
NONews99%match15¢-100%
DOMODEDOVO AIRPORT ACCEPTS AND DISPATCHES FLIGHTS IN APPROVAL OF THE RELEVANT AUTHORITIES - ROSAVIATSIYA
YESNews99%match82¢+22%
RESTRICTIONS ON THE ACCEPTION AND RELEASE OF AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN LIFTED AT VNUKOVO AND DOMODEDOVO AIRPORTS - ROSAVIATSIYA
Where does the news lean?
7YES10NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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