Mojtaba Khamenei public appearanceAugust 31

OpenVol$518KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOiranintl92%match100¢
Mojtaba Khamenei, the third leader of the Islamic Republic, has not appeared in public for about six months, and no new photos, audio files, or videos of him have been released. This long absence, along with the publication of written messages in his name, has raised questions about his physical condition and the circumstances of his presence at the head of the Islamic Republic.
YESalarabiya91%match2¢-100%
Iranian media outlets publish new, undated footage of Mojtaba Khamenei
NOalarabiya94%match97¢+3%
His brothers appeared at the 40th-day memorial service for Ali Khamenei... Mojtaba Khamenei's continued absence raises questions Videos document the presence of Mustafa and Masoud Khamenei at their father's 40th-day memorial service in Tehran, amidst the notable absence of their brother Mojtaba Mojtaba Khamenei, who was chosen to succeed his father as Supreme Leader, continues his complete absence from the public eye and appearances since his father's assassination The funeral and burial ceremony for Ali Khamenei in Mashhad saw the participation of his sons, with Mustafa leading the prayers over the body, but no presence of Mojtaba was recorded The body of the former Supreme Leader was buried on July 9, 2026, in the city of Mashhad, following a funeral procession that included Tehran, Qom, Najaf, and Karbala in Iraq Mojtaba was chosen as the new Supreme Leader of Iran days after his father's assassination, but he has not appeared at any official event since the incident The attack Iranian authorities are keeping quiet about the reasons for Mojtaba's absence from the funeral and 40-day memorial services, without providing any explanation for his motives. Media reports suggest that his continued absence is linked to heightened security concerns, amid speculation that he may have been injured during the bombing. From Al Arabiya
NOalhadath93%match97¢+3%
In front of the cameras, the Iranian Supreme Leader's brothers appear, while Mojtaba remains in hiding.
YESIranian Media91%match8¢-100%
A new image of the Supreme Leader of the Revolution was published The media of the Office of the Supreme Leader of the Revolution published a new image of His Holiness Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
YESfoxnews.com96%match13¢-100%
Live: Footage of Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei to be released soon: report
YESalarabiya96%match9¢-100%
Following the first video of Mojtaba Khamenei's public appearance, Pezeshkian meets with the Iranian Supreme Leader.
YESRussian Media - MOD92%match5¢-100%
Iranian media have published footage of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei for the first time. The footage shows the head of the Islamic Republic, presumably conducting a religious lesson for students. He was wounded on the first day of the Israeli and US attack on Iran in early March, which killed his father, the previous leader of the Republic. Mojtaba Khamenei was elected in March of this year. The Times reported in late July that Israel's Mossad and the US CIA are jointly trying to track down the Iranian leader to determine whether he is alive and where he might be. Video not loading? Watch in MAX [in reply to: Iran's Council of Experts has elected Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Ali Khamenei, as the republic's new Supreme Leader, Iranian media reported, citing the commission's decision. "According to the Council of Experts' decision, Mojtaba Khamenei has become Iran's third Supreme Leader," Fars writes. Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei is the second son of former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who died on February 28. He served for a long time in the Supreme Leader's office and has close ties to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. ]
YESRussian Media94%match4¢-100%
Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei appeared on video in local media for the first time in five months. In the footage published by the Mehr news agency, the head of the Islamic Republic is believed to be conducting a religious lesson for students. However, the date of the filming remains unknown. Mojtaba Khamenei was wounded on the first day of the Israeli-US attack on Iran in early March, which killed his father, the previous leader of the republic. According to the Iranian Foreign Ministry, his condition was assessed as satisfactory. Earlier, The New York Times reported that due to the injury and the security threat, Khamenei has not yet appeared publicly or published videos. More IZ RU news in MAX
YESnewsdig.tbs.co.jp95%match4¢-100%
Iranian media reports that this may be the first publicly released footage of Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba.
NOiranintl93%match95¢+5%
"After the assassination of Ali Khamenei and the announcement of Mojtaba's leadership, the new leader is unable to appear publicly due to security concerns and is operating in secret," said Morad Veysi, a senior analyst at Iran International. "Abbas Araghchi says that despite the passage of about four months since Mojtaba's announcement of leadership, he has not seen him yet and only a limited number of people see him."
NOalarabiya94%match94¢+6%
The Supreme Leader in hiding until the end of the war... When will Mojtaba Khamenei appear in public? An Iranian official confirms to TASS that Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is completely out of the public eye as long as the war continues. "Strict security measures prevent the Iranian Supreme Leader from appearing in public in the foreseeable future." Mojtaba Khamenei's return to public life is entirely dependent on the cessation of escalation and the stabilization of the situation. Increasing questions and speculations surround the disappearance of the Iranian Supreme Leader as military operations continue. CNN: Sharp divisions and escalating factional infighting within the Iranian regime following the ceasefire agreement with the US. Anger over the US-Iranian confrontation is turning into an internal struggle in Tehran between a hardline faction that rejects compromise and leaders seeking to manage the new phase. From Al Arabiya
NOalhadath92%match94¢+6%
Iranian official: Mojtaba Khamenei will not appear in public until the war with America ends.
NOalarabiya92%match94¢+6%
Iranian official: Mojtaba Khamenei will not appear in public until the war with America ends.
NOynet.co.il93%match94¢+6%
Iranian senior official: "Mojtaba Khamenei will not appear in public until the war is over"
NOalhadath92%match94¢+6%
Iranian official: Mojtaba Khamenei will not appear in public until the war with America ends.
NOAl Hadath92%match94¢+6%
Iranian official: Mojtaba Khamenei will not appear in public until the war with America ends.
NOalhadath99%match77¢+30%
Iran: Khamenei's coffin arrives in Qom after a massive farewell in the streets of Tehran
NOafp.com99%match77¢+30%
Body of Khamenei arrives in Qom ahead of procession
NOtasnimnews_fa99%match41¢+144%
A window into the last appearance of the martyred revolutionary leader at the Ashura night ceremony of Imam Khomeini's (RA) Husseiniyeh #Martyr_Leader

Where does the news lean?

23YES91NO11neutraltrailing 24h

Signal flow leans NO at 82% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Related markets

See all outcomes for Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Trending now