Modi out by December 31, 2026?

OpenVol$250KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES7¢
NO93¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOIran Semi-Official ILNA99%match91¢+2%
Modi urges Indians to save energy and gold Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has urged his people to reduce fuel consumption through measures such as teleworking, as rising tensions in West Asia continue to drive up global energy prices. Modi also asked people to refrain from buying gold for weddings for a year as part of efforts to reduce discretionary spending.
NOchinesewsj99%match90¢+3%
Discontent over economic issues often leads to the downfall of the ruling party. However, in India, this discontent is benefiting Prime Minister Modi and his ruling party, at least for now.
NOft.com99%match90¢+3%
FirstFT: How India’s Narendra Modi revived his political fortunes
NOft.com99%match90¢+3%
India’s Modi celebrates a return to dominance
NOafp99%match90¢+3%
Narendra Modi has dominated Indian politics for years, but analysts say this week's resounding election victory in opposition-held West Bengal could mark a watershed moment for his party's Hindu nationalist agenda. •
NOsemafor.com99%match90¢+3%
Indian PM Modi wins big in state elections

Where does the news lean?

0YES12NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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