Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Open$166Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The government of Javier Milei is preparing an electoral reform in Argentina with a Clean Slate program, changes to the primaries, and new requirements for political parties. The president has confirmed his candidacy for a possible reelection in 2027. What do you think? #Argentina #teleSUR #Aug29
NOReuters99%match89¢+7%
Argentina Senate approves Milei-backed labor reform
NOBloomberg99%match89¢+7%
Argentine President Javier Milei’s signature labor reform cleared its final hurdle in the Senate, a pivotal victory in the libertarian’s ambitious agenda that could help the South American nation return to global markets
NOCGTN America99%match88¢+8%
ARGENTINA'S SENATE APPROVES MILEI-BACKED REFORM TO GLACIER LAW
NOCGTN Europe99%match88¢+8%
ARGENTINA'S SENATE APPROVES MILEI-BACKED REFORM TO GLACIER LAW
NOReuters99%match89¢+7%
Argentina's Congress approves 2026 budget, first under Milei
Where does the news lean?
1YES12NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 79% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.