Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?
Resolved$45Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved. Final market pricing put Linke at 0%, as of .
Linke0¢
CDU100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
4,9 Prozent: CDU fliegt aus Landtag Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania election: How the CDU simply disappeared in the blue-red duel - data analysis
CDUNews94%match99¢+1%
URGENTLY Merz's CDU fails to enter the parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern in Germany - electoral commission
The CDU fails to enter the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state parliament.
CDUNews95%match98¢+2%
URGENTLY Merz's CDU fails to enter the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state parliament - electoral commission
The seat distribution in the Schwerin state parliament according to the current results from the state election office (almost all votes counted). No CDU in a German parliament. Shocking.
CDU suffers a collapse in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania – Left Party ahead in Berlin
Consequences for the election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Does the CDU now have to fear the five percent hurdle in the northeast?
Where does the news lean?
1Linke13CDU9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “CDU” if CDU wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than CDU in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both CDU and Linke receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).