Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
Open$29Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Judge Denies Lawyer's Motion To Find Lindsay Clancy Not Guilty In Murder Of 3 Children
United States: Accused of triple infanticide, Lindsay Clancy seeks acquittal after her trial is dismissed
Live: Lindsay Clancy's lawyer says he won't be ready for Lindsay Clancy's retrial until June
Live: Will DA Tim Cruz choose to retry Lindsay Clancy?
DEVELOPING: Lindsay Clancy returns to court at 9 a.m. Eastern today as her defense fights to stop prosecutors from putting her on trial again after a single holdout juror blocked a verdict. • • Her attorneys are pushing a double jeopardy argument to dismiss the charges outright, while prosecutors are expected to reveal more about their plans following the mistrial. • • But another major fight has suddenly hit a snag. The defense wants the lone holdout juror investigated, but that motion could be delayed after his attorney raised objections over access to impounded court materials. • • Clancy’s first trial ended with the jury split 11-1, with 11 jurors prepared to find her not criminally responsible and the holdout supporting a conviction. • • What happens inside the courtroom today could shape whether this case heads toward another trial. • • Read what both sides are fighting for and what comes next:
Lindsay Clancy hires Karen Read attorney for high-stakes double jeopardy fight after murder mistrial
Where does the news lean?
1YES19NO46neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one count of manslaughter in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A conviction for manslaughter will qualify whether it results from a manslaughter charge or from a finding of manslaughter as a lesser included offense of a murder charge. A conviction for murder, without any accompanying conviction for manslaughter, will not qualify.
If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty on all charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for manslaughter.
If all charges against Clancy are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.