Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$20B

OpenVol$18KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES5¢
NO95¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOfinancefeeds.com99%match66¢+44%
Kraken Owner Seeks New Funding at $20 Billion Valuation Ahead of Planned IPO
YEScoindesk.com99%match34¢-85%
Kraken parent Payward seeks fresh funding at $20 billion valuation ahead of potential IPO

Where does the news lean?

3YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

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