Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Open$32Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES10¢
NO90¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: President Joseph Aoun of Lebanon is scheduled to visit President Trump at the White House on July 21, two U.S. officials said.
President Aoun received the UAE ambassador and the head of the Central Inspection Bureau.
President Joseph Aoun discussed with Energy and Water Minister Joe Sadek the ongoing discussions with Egypt, Syria, Jordan, and Cyprus regarding electricity interconnection and gas imports, in addition to other matters related to the electricity and fuel sectors.
Breaking news: President Joseph Aoun will shortly receive a delegation of families of State Security martyrs at Baabda Palace.
News: President Aoun insists on the independence of the Lebanese negotiation track
New information: President Aoun does not object to visiting the White House and meeting President Trump, but all talk of a meeting with Netanyahu is completely out of the question at present. @daou_rimane
President Joseph Aoun discussed with the head of the Central Inspection Authority, Judge George Attieh, the progress of the cases being investigated by the Authority, particularly those related to combating corruption.
President Joseph Aoun discussed with the UN Special Coordinator for Lebanon, Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, the general situation in the country in light of security and military developments and the continued Israeli attacks on Lebanon.
President Joseph Aoun discussed with the UN Special Coordinator for Lebanon, Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, the general situation in the country in light of the security and military developments and the continued Israeli attacks on Lebanon.
President Joseph Aoun discussed with the head of the Supreme Judicial Council, Judge Suhail Abboud, the course of judicial work under the current circumstances.
President Aoun discussed with the Ministers of Defense and Interior measures to enhance security and stability in Beirut and the regions.
President Joseph Aoun held a meeting this morning at Baabda Palace, attended by Minister of National Defense Major General Michel Mansour and Minister of Interior and Municipalities Ahmed Hajjar. During the meeting, the security situation in the country was discussed, as well as the measures taken by the army, the Internal Security Forces and other security agencies to enhance stability and prevent breaches of security, in implementation of the measures approved by the Cabinet in its last session. The research also addressed the security plan implemented in Beirut, particularly with regard to securing shelters and ensuring the safety of those in them.
Where does the news lean?
0YES18NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.