Jerome Powell out of Fed BoardMay 30
ResolvedOutcome: No$287Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
39 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Powell defies Trump to stay on Fed board
YESNews99%match6¢-100%
*BESSENT: HIGHLY UNUSUAL FOR POWELL TO STAY ON FED BOARD
Powell vows to stay at Fed as a governor
US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell: I will remain in my position after my term ends on May 15 for a period to be determined later.
Powell: Removing Federal Reserve chairmen because of their policies would be the beginning of the end
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell: Will remain a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after stepping down as chairman.
BREAKING: • • Jerome Powell says he'll remain on the Fed board as a governor — at least until the resolution of legal challenges Trump has mounted against the central bank. • • Powell's term allows him to remain at the Fed until 2028, but for decades, Fed chairs have left the building when their successor is installed.
Powell will remain on the Fed's board of governors and will leave when he deems it appropriate.
LATEST: Jerome Powell to remain at the Federal Reserve as a governor.
JEROME POWELL: • • JUST IN: JEROME POWELL TO REMAIN ON FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD AS GOVERNOR AFTER FED CHAIR TERM ENDS. - ...
Powell will remain on board of governors until DOJ investigaiton 'well and truly over'
Jerome Powell said he will stay on the Fed Board for a period of time
Powell says he will remain as a Federal Reserve Governor •
POWELL WILL STAY ON AS GOVERNOR "FOR A PERIOD OF TIME" AFTER MAY 15 ...
POWELL WILL STAY ON AS GOVERNOR "FOR A PERIOD OF TIME" AFTER MAY 15
POWELL WILL STAY ON AS GOVERNOR "FOR A PERIOD OF TIME" AFTER MAY 15
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is likely to stay on for a short time after his term as head of the central bank is over, bettors on prediction markets platform Kalshi estimate. • • Bettors place a 30% chance Powell resigns as a member of the Fed Board of Governors by June. However, bettors are more confident that he does that by August or the end of the year, with 66% and 81% odds, respectively. • • More details:
Gold Steadies As Fed’s Powell Says Long-Term Inflation In Check – BBG • •
Sen Tillis on why he publicly defended Jay Powell right after the Fed chief revealed the criminal probe on a Sunday in Jan. • It was to reassure markets that the Fed doesn’t serve at the pleasure of the president. “It doesn’t,” he said.(32 min mark)
Powell probe leaves US Fed leadership change in limbo
NOReuters98%match65¢+54%
Fed’s Powell: We Don’t Know How Big the Energy Shock Will Be, Way Too Early to Know
Fed Chair Jerome Powell Says He Has "No Intention" of Resigning Until Trump Investigation is Finished. • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated that he has "no intention" of stepping down from his position until the federal investigation into him launched by the Trump administration has finished.
Powell stated that he has no intention of leaving the Federal Reserve before the investigation concludes.
Trump tried to push Powell out, but now he may be stuck with him
Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell said he will continue leading the U.S. central bank as “chair pro tem” if a successor is not confirmed by the Senate in mid-May. • • Vault co-author @BrendanPedersen has more: •
Powell says that if no Fed chair was confirmed before May 15, he would stay on as chair on a temporary basis. He said he had no intension of stepping down until the investigation is “well and truly over.”
Powell says he has 'no intention of leaving' Fed during DOJ investigation
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell full answer that he will stay as Fed Chairman Pro Tempore if a new Fed Chairman is not confirmed by May 15th and stay on the Board until the investigation into the Federal Reserve building cost overruns is fully finished. #FederalReserve
Powell stated that he is prepared to remain in his current position temporarily after his term as Federal Reserve Chairman ends.
Powell says he has "no intention" of leaving the Fed while investigation is ongoing
Live: Powell says he has ‘no intention’ of stepping down from Fed board
Fed Chairman Jay Powell tells me that he will stay on as Fed Chair pro tempore after May 15th until a new Fed Chairman is confirmed. He adds he will stay on the Fed Board of Governors until investigation into the building cost overruns by the Fed is fully over. #FederalReserve
Powell says that if Kevin Warsh isn't confirmed by May 15, he would stay on and serve as chair pro tempore, citing recent Fed precedent. • • On the DOJ probe: "I have no intention of leaving the board until the investigation is well and truly over." • • As to whether that means he would leave if the probe ends, "I have not made that decision."
Powell says he will serve as Chair Pro Tem of the Fed if Congress has not yet approved a new chair by May 15. • • That could very well happen if the DOJ doesn't wrap its investigation or drop its case against him.
Fed's Powell: I have no intention of leaving the Fed board until the DoJ probe is over.
!! POWELL says he would continue serving as "chair pro tem" of the Federal Reserve if a successor is not confirmed by the time his term ends in mid May • • Powell ALSO says he will not leave the Fed board until the DOJ investigation into him is "well and truly over"
Today is one of the last Jerome Powell days
Powell’s attorneys discussed the possibility of his remaining on Fed board
Powell won't step down from the Fed board as long as he's still under investigation in mid May, when his term as chair lapses. (He can remain on the Fed board through early 2028.)
Where does the news lean?
3YES39NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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See all outcomes for Jerome Powell out of Fed Board — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.