Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meetingJuly 31
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$23Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
19 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Israel and Lebanon to hold talks in Rome for two days, according to reports.
Live: Lebanon and Israel resume talks
Report: Sixth round of talks between Israel and Lebanon begins
A new round of negotiations between Lebanon and Israel in Rome
Live: Rome talks between Lebanon and Israel set to move forward next week
AFP: The next round of negotiations between Israel and Lebanon will be held in Rome on the 15th and 16th of this month.
MTV News: The July 14-15 meetings between Lebanon and Israel will be held at the US Embassy in Rome. Lebanon will be represented by Ambassadors Simon Karam and Nada Mouawad, and a third person, most likely without a military delegation.
Rome to host new round of talks between Lebanon and Israel
Israel confirms next round of talks with Lebanon to be held in Rome
Israel: The next round of talks with Lebanon will be held next week in Rome.
Israel: The next round of talks with Lebanon will be held in Rome.
ALERT: Israel says next round of talks with Lebanon to be held in Rome
The Israeli ambassador to the United States: The next round of talks between Lebanon and Israel will be held in Rome on July 15 and 16.
++ Next round of Israel-Lebanon negotiations in Rome on July 15-16 ++
Tomer Almagor
Israeli Ambassador to the US Yechiel Leiter said at a public conference that the tripartite agreement between Israel, Lebanon and the US overrides the memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran on Lebanon. He added that the next round of negotiations between Israel and Lebanon is expected to take place in Rome on July 14-15, according to quotes from the ambassador published in the US media.
Israeli Ambassador to Washington Yechiel Leiter: The next round of talks between Lebanon and Israel will be held on July 14-15 in Rome.
Israeli Ambassador to Washington Yechiel Leiter: The next round of talks between Lebanon and Israel will be held on July 14-15 in Rome.
Next round of talks between Israel and Lebanon to be hosted in Rome on 14-15 of July, says Israeli ambassador Yechiel Leiter.
Israeli Ambassador to Washington Yechiel Leiter: The next round of talks between Lebanon and Israel will be held on July 14-15 in Rome.
Where does the news lean?
21YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.