Israel withdraws from LebanonMay 31

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$1.5MResolvedas of

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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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50 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOAsharq99%match98¢+2%
Sources told Asharq News regarding the Lebanon-Israel negotiations: Among the issues expected to be discussed are the future of the ceasefire monitoring mechanism, early recovery in the south, border demarcation, and Israeli withdrawal.
NOAsharq Reporter99%match98¢+2%
The Lebanese / Israeli talks: • • The talks between Lebanon and Israel have officially kicked off. A long road still lies ahead before reaching what the U.S. ultimately wants: a peace agreement. • • What is expected from these two days is a statement of intent and the beginning of a framework for any comprehensive agreement. • • The first round today, is expected to followed by a short break and a working lunch until 1:30 PM. A second round is expected to begin at 1:30 PM and conclude at 5:30 PM. • • Today’s discussions are expected to focus on the political aspects, while tomorrow’s will focus on security aspects. • • Among the issues expected to be discussed over the two days: • • - Extension of the ceasefire • - Border demarcation and Israeli withdrawal • - Hizbollah disarmament • - The return of displaced residents • - The future of the existing mechanism • - Early recovery in the South • • @AsharqNews
NOHezbollah99%match98¢+2%
Statement issued by the Islamic Resistance (10): In the name of God, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful Permission [to fight] has been given to those who are being fought, because they were wronged. And indeed, Allah is fully capable of giving them victory. God Almighty has spoken the truth. In defense of Lebanon and its people, and in response to the Israeli enemy’s violation of the ceasefire and the attacks that targeted villages in southern Lebanon and resulted in the martyrdom of a number of civilians and injuries, the Islamic Resistance fighters targeted, at 11:00 on Thursday, May 14, 2026, a position of Israeli enemy army soldiers inside a tent in the course of the Deir Siryan River in southern Lebanon with a swooping attack. Victory comes only from God, the Almighty, the Wise. Thursday, May 14, 2026 26 Dhu al-Qi'dah 1447 AH #Battle_of_the_Eaten_Straw #InDefenseOfLebanonAndItsPeople #Military_Media
NOHezbollah99%match98¢+2%
Statement issued by the Islamic Resistance (8): In the name of God, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful Permission [to fight] has been given to those who are being fought, because they were wronged. And indeed, Allah is fully capable of giving them victory. God Almighty has spoken the truth. In defense of Lebanon and its people, and in response to the Israeli enemy’s violation of the ceasefire and the attacks that targeted villages in southern Lebanon and resulted in the martyrdom of a number of civilians and injuries, the Islamic Resistance fighters targeted an artillery emplacement belonging to the Israeli enemy army in the town of Al-Adisa with a drone at 13:00 on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Victory comes only from God, the Almighty, the Wise. Thursday, May 14, 2026 26 Dhu al-Qi'dah 1447 AH #Battle_of_the_Eaten_Straw #InDefenseOfLebanonAndItsPeople #Military_Media
NOKan Reporter99%match98¢+2%
Talks between Israel and Lebanon at the US State Department will continue tomorrow. The Israeli delegation consists of Israeli Ambassador to the US Yechiel Leiter, senior National Security Council official Yossi Dreznin, head of the IDF Strategic Division Amichai Levin, Deputy Military Attaché in Washington Brigadier General Arik Ben-Dov, and the embassy's Middle East advisor, Noa Ginosar.
NOtvalmasirah99%match99¢+1%
Footage from the Islamic Resistance's targeting of an Israeli enemy army Merkava tank in the town of Ainatha, southern #Lebanon, in a swoop attack on May 13, 2026 #Lebanon_Front #Operation_Eaten_Straw
NOfoxnews.com99%match99¢+1%
Lebanon to call for ceasefire as Israel truce shows signs of strain ahead of talks in Washington
NOisraelnews2399%match99¢+1%
Israel is assessing expanding its buffer zone in southern Lebanon beyond 10 km to counter Hezbollah drone attacks.
NOChannel 12 (N12)99%match99¢+1%
Sapir Lipkin The Lebanese sources added that "Israel has stuck to the buffer zone in southern Lebanon and is considering expanding it to remove the danger of Hezbollah's drones. It intends to expand it to a depth of more than 10 km."
NOChannel 12 (N12)99%match99¢+1%
Sapir Lipkin Lebanese sources tell Sky News Arabic: The ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon will be extended for an as-yet-unknown period. Israel insists on continuing its operations in southern Lebanon. Washington has informed Lebanon that it is applying pressure to prevent attacks in Beirut and Dahiyya. The Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon is conditional on Hezbollah disarming.
NOsapirlipkin99%match99¢+1%
Lebanese sources tell Sky News Arabic: The ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon will be extended for an as-yet-unknown period. Israel insists on continuing its operations in southern Lebanon. Washington has informed Lebanon that it is applying pressure to prevent attacks in Beirut and Dahiyya. The Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon is conditional on Hezbollah disarming. They added that "Israel has stuck to the buffer zone in southern Lebanon and is considering expanding it to remove the threat of Hezbollah drones. It intends to expand it to a depth of more than 10 km."
NOiranintlbrk99%match99¢+1%
Israeli Defense Minister: Residents of southern Lebanon have no right to return to their homes until Hezbollah disarms
NOAsharq99%match99¢+1%
Israeli Defense Minister: Residents of southern Lebanon will not return to their homes until Hezbollah is disarmed.
NOSky News Arabia99%match99¢+1%
Lebanese sources told Sky News Arabia that Israel intends to expand the buffer zone in southern Lebanon to a depth of more than 10 kilometers.
NOHezbollah99%match99¢+1%
Statement issued by the Islamic Resistance (7): In the name of God, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful Permission [to fight] has been given to those who are being fought, because they were wronged. And indeed, Allah is fully capable of giving them victory. God Almighty has spoken the truth. In defense of Lebanon and its people, and in response to the Israeli enemy’s violation of the ceasefire and the attacks that targeted villages in southern Lebanon and resulted in the martyrdom of a number of civilians and injuries, the Islamic Resistance fighters targeted a gathering of Israeli enemy army soldiers in the town of Rashaf with artillery shells at 2:35 PM on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Victory comes only from God, the Almighty, the Wise. Thursday, May 14, 2026 26 Dhu al-Qi'dah 1447 AH #Battle_of_the_Eaten_Straw #InDefenseOfLebanonAndItsPeople #Military_Media
NOHezbollah99%match99¢+1%
Statement issued by the Islamic Resistance (6): In the name of God, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful Permission [to fight] has been given to those who are being fought, because they were wronged. And indeed, Allah is fully capable of giving them victory. God Almighty has spoken the truth. In defense of Lebanon and its people, and in response to the Israeli enemy’s violation of the ceasefire and the attacks that targeted villages in southern Lebanon and resulted in the martyrdom of a number of civilians and injuries, the Islamic Resistance fighters targeted the newly established Balat site in southern Lebanon with artillery shells at 2:25 PM on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Victory comes only from God, the Almighty, the Wise. Thursday, May 14, 2026 26 Dhu al-Qi'dah 1447 AH #Battle_of_the_Eaten_Straw #InDefenseOfLebanonAndItsPeople #Military_Media
NOalarabytv98%match99¢+1%
Israeli escalation continues in southern Lebanon, with the aggression expanding to include the western Bekaa Valley, ahead of a new round of negotiations between Lebanon and Israel. Details with our correspondent Ramez Al-Qadi
NOisraelnews2399%match99¢+1%
Lebanese officials are expected to demand a ceasefire from Israel in Washington talks, while Israel insists on Hezbollah’s disarmament and a peace deal, amid ongoing strikes and casualties on both sides, Maariv reports.
NOalarabytv98%match97¢+3%
Israeli shelling intensified in southern Lebanon as fighting escalated, and the occupation forces issued evacuation orders for the first time in the southern Sidon-Zahrani district. @mchebaro
NOalarabytv99%match97¢+3%
The Israeli army renews its warning to evacuate 12 towns in southern Lebanon.
NOaljazeera.com99%match97¢+3%
Israeli troops appear to have ‘advanced significantly’ in southwestern Lebanon
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher99%match97¢+3%
Israeli Chief of Staff from southern Lebanon: We continue to remove all threats to northern towns and deepen the dismantling of Hezbollah.
NOAl Jazeera99%match97¢+3%
Israeli Chief of Staff from southern #Lebanon: We will not withdraw from #Lebanon until security is guaranteed and a long-term solution is reached for the northern towns.
NOaljazeera.com99%match98¢+2%
Israel orders residents of 12 Lebanese towns and villages to flee their homes
NOanadoluajansi99%match98¢+2%
Despite the ceasefire, the Israeli army threatened to evacuate and attack 12 towns in eastern and southern Lebanon. → Israel forced residents, some of whom live in towns north of the Litani River, to evacuate their homes and move at least one kilometer away. The Lebanese government announced that the number of people displaced within the country due to Israeli attacks has exceeded 1 million.
NOFrench Media99%match98¢+2%
LIVE Middle East war: Israeli army calls on residents of about ten villages in southern Lebanon to evacuate
NOdbws.io99%match98¢+2%
Israeli military issues evacuation warning for 12 villages and towns in southern Lebanon
NOajenews99%match98¢+2%
BREAKING: Israeli issues forced displacement orders in southern Lebanon • • LIVE updates:
NOalarabiya_eng99%match98¢+2%
BREAKING: The Israeli army issues an evacuation an order to residents of 12 south Lebanon towns.
NOaljadeednews99%match98¢+2%
The Israeli army warns 12 villages in southern Lebanon and the Bekaa Valley to evacuate immediately.
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher99%match98¢+2%
Israeli army: Warning residents of 12 towns in southern Lebanon and the western Bekaa Valley to evacuate their homes and move one kilometer away
NOAl Hadath99%match98¢+2%
The Israeli army warns 12 towns in southern Lebanon and the western Bekaa Valley to evacuate.
NON13/GLZ Reporters98%match98¢+2%
IDF issues extraordinary evacuation warning in Lebanon: 12 villages are being demanded to be evacuated - 9 of which are north of the Litani, one in the Bekaa region (you can see on the attached map all the markings of the villages that the IDF demanded to be evacuated, and the approximate line of the Litani in blue). It appears that the IDF is about to expand its attacks - and increase attacks in areas north of the Litani River, in a manner quite unusual compared to recent days. An evacuation alert was also issued for the village of Zelaya, located in the southern Bekaa region (the easternmost on the attached map).
NOAl Arabiya99%match98¢+2%
The Israeli army warns of the evacuation of 12 towns in southern Lebanon and the western Bekaa Valley.
NOalarabytv99%match98¢+2%
#Breaking | Israeli army renews its warning to evacuate 12 towns in southern Lebanon
NOAsharq99%match98¢+2%
The Israeli army has issued a warning to evacuate 12 towns and villages in southern Lebanon before launching attacks there.
NOSky News Arabia99%match98¢+2%
The Israeli army issues a warning to evacuate residents of several towns in southern Lebanon.
NOAl Araby99%match98¢+2%
The Israeli army renews its warning to evacuate 12 towns in southern Lebanon.
NOiranintlbrk99%match98¢+2%
Israeli army issues evacuation warning for more than 10 villages and towns in southern Lebanon
NOAl Hadath99%match98¢+2%
The Israeli army informs residents of border areas of the start of a wave of raids in Lebanon.
NOaljazeera.com99%match97¢+3%
Israeli forces launch raids and artillery shelling in southern Lebanon
NOmanniefabian99%match97¢+3%
IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir says there "is no ceasefire" in southern Lebanon as troops continue to operate against the threat of Hezbollah. • • He also says that the IDF "will not tolerate" Hezbollah's attacks on Israeli troops stationed in southern Lebanon, while adding that Israel will not leave its new security zone until the threat to Israel's northern communities is removed. • • "In Lebanon, the mission assigned to us by the political echelon is to position ourselves along the line to prevent direct fire on the communities. We have achieved this, this is the line we are on. We may be required to remain on it," Zamir says during a visit this morning to the southern Lebanon town of Taybeh, where troops are deployed. • • "We will not tolerate attacks and fire on our communities, and we will not leave until long-term security for the northern communities is ensured," he says, according to remarks published by the IDF. • • Zamir says the IDF is continuing to fight: "We continue fighting and are working to deepen the operational achievements and to protect our forces." • • "On the combat front, there is no ceasefire; you continue to fight, to remove direct and indirect threats from the northern communities, to thwart terror infrastructure, to locate and kill terrorists," he continues. • • "Any threat, anywhere, to our communities or our forces, including beyond the Yellow Line and north of the Litani [River], will be removed. Your mission and duty are to act with freedom of action and remove any threat," Zamir says. • • He says that "at this stage we are not advancing beyond the line, but we will continue to act and remove threats freely." • • "The forces on the ground continue to operate, and there is no restriction on [destroying] infrastructure and killing terrorists," Zamir adds.
NOAl Hadath99%match97¢+3%
Israeli Chief of Staff from Lebanon: We will not leave until the long-term security of the northern communities is guaranteed.
NOAl Arabiya98%match92¢+9%
The Israeli army is asking residents of southern Lebanon not to return to 58 villages.
YESi24news_en99%match8¢-100%
IDF soldiers of the 91st Division raise the Israeli flag in Meiss al-Jabal in southern Lebanon on Israel's Memorial Day
NOmarketnews_feed98%match90¢+11%
ISRAELI ARMY: A NON-COMMISSIONED OFFICER FROM THE RESERVE FORCES WAS KILLED IN BATTLES IN SOUTHERN LEBANON YESTERDAY ...
NOAl Hadath99%match92¢+9%
Hezbollah says the Lebanese authorities negotiated with Israel "without achieving the goal of a ceasefire and withdrawal."
NOajenews99%match79¢+27%
BREAKING: Israeli army to hold all positions in Lebanon it has 'cleared and captured' • • LIVE updates:
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher99%match79¢+27%
Israeli Defense Minister: Ground incursions into Lebanon and Hezbollah bombing throughout Lebanon have achieved major successes, but are not yet complete.
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher98%match79¢+27%
Israeli Defense Minister: We have established a 10-kilometer-deep security zone from the sea in the west to Mount Hermon in the east to eliminate the threat of infiltration and direct fire from Lebanon.

Where does the news lean?

7YES118NO2neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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