Israel withdraws from LebanonJune 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$3.5MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

48 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOlbcgroup.tv99%match99¢+1%
Presidential sources told LBCI: The basic principle for Lebanon is that at least part of the proposed area should be under occupation or within the yellow line, so that withdrawal can take place from the occupied section and the army can be deployed there.
NOMTV Lebanon99%match99¢+1%
Sources in Baabda told MTV: Israeli scrutiny of the Lebanese army's work is unacceptable to us, and there is progress in the declaration of intent being worked on between Lebanon and Israel under American auspices.
NOYnet Reporter99%match99¢+1%
The Minister of Defense says we will not leave southern Lebanon, and the Prime Minister says Israel will remain in the security zone. However, they do not guarantee that there will be no withdrawal from the line the IDF currently holds, and they do not clarify where that security zone will pass: through the five fingers of the “Northern Arrows,” the Yellow Line, or the Beaufort area? The gaps between these options are very significant.
NOcbsnews.com99%match99¢+1%
Israeli defense minister says "no U.S. demand" to withdraw forces from Lebanon
NOSemi-Official YJC News Agency99%match99¢+1%
Netanyahu: We still have work to do in Lebanon We will not withdraw from Lebanese soil. We will create a buffer zone in southern Lebanon to prevent Hezbollah from carrying out attacks against us. @YjcNewsChannel
NOafp.com99%match99¢+1%
Israeli defence minister says 'no US demand' to withdraw from Lebanon
NOChannel 12 (N12)99%match90¢+11%
Sapir Lipkin The Lebanese sources added that "Israel has stuck to the buffer zone in southern Lebanon and is considering expanding it to remove the danger of Hezbollah's drones. It intends to expand it to a depth of more than 10 km."
NOChannel 12 (N12)99%match90¢+11%
Sapir Lipkin Lebanese sources tell Sky News Arabic: The ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon will be extended for an as-yet-unknown period. Israel insists on continuing its operations in southern Lebanon. Washington has informed Lebanon that it is applying pressure to prevent attacks in Beirut and Dahiyya. The Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon is conditional on Hezbollah disarming.
NOsapirlipkin99%match90¢+11%
Lebanese sources tell Sky News Arabic: The ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon will be extended for an as-yet-unknown period. Israel insists on continuing its operations in southern Lebanon. Washington has informed Lebanon that it is applying pressure to prevent attacks in Beirut and Dahiyya. The Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon is conditional on Hezbollah disarming. They added that "Israel has stuck to the buffer zone in southern Lebanon and is considering expanding it to remove the threat of Hezbollah drones. It intends to expand it to a depth of more than 10 km."
NOSky News Arabia99%match90¢+11%
Lebanese sources told Sky News Arabia that Israel intends to expand the buffer zone in southern Lebanon to a depth of more than 10 kilometers.
NOredboxwire99%match90¢+11%
The Israeli army has ordered residents of eight locations in southern Lebanon and the Bekaa area to evacuate ahead of expected military action.
NOfirstsquawk99%match90¢+11%
The Israeli army has ordered residents of eight locations in southern Lebanon and the Bekaa area to evacuate ahead of expected military action.
NOm.thepaper.cn98%match90¢+11%
Israeli forces have reportedly crossed the Litani River in southern Lebanon and are advancing northward.
NOAsharq99%match90¢+11%
Israel issues new warning to residents of 6 villages in southern Lebanon to evacuate
Israeli forces have reportedly crossed the Litani River in southern Lebanon and are advancing northward.
NOalhadath99%match90¢+11%
Al-Hadath correspondent Nahed Youssef: The Israeli army has issued evacuation orders for 80 villages and controls approximately 55 towns located within the yellow line, equivalent to one-third of southern Lebanon.
NOalhadath99%match90¢+11%
Al-Hadath correspondent Nahed Youssef: The Israeli army has issued evacuation orders for 80 villages and controls approximately 55 towns located within the yellow line, equivalent to one-third of southern Lebanon.
NOalarabytv99%match90¢+11%
#Breaking | The Israeli army renews its warning to evacuate 4 towns in the Tyre district of southern Lebanon
NOalhadath99%match90¢+11%
Israel announces "operational control over the Litani River area"
NOKan Reporter98%match89¢+12%
IDF forces operating north of the Litani River in Lebanon
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher98%match89¢+12%
The Israeli army: Golani Brigade forces completed a special operation to achieve operational control in the Litani River area of southern Lebanon.
NOalarabytv98%match89¢+12%
#Breaking | Israeli army: We have completed an operation to achieve operational control in the Litani River area of southern Lebanon
NOalarabytv98%match89¢+12%
#Breaking | Israeli army: We have completed an operation to achieve operational control in the Litani River area of southern Lebanon
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher98%match89¢+12%
Israeli Army Radio: Israeli forces carried out an operation north of the Litani River and operated on the outskirts of the village of Zawtar al-Sharqiya in southern Lebanon for a week.
NOAl Hadath99%match89¢+12%
New Israeli warning to evacuate 4 villages in southern Lebanon
NOaljazeera.com99%match91¢+10%
Israel warns of more attacks on south Lebanon, tells residents to flee
NOSky News Arabia99%match91¢+10%
The Israeli army issues orders to evacuate several towns in the Bekaa Valley in Lebanon.
NOAl Jazeera99%match91¢+10%
Israeli army: Warning issued to residents of 9 towns and villages in southern Lebanon and the western Bekaa Valley to evacuate within a 1000-meter radius.
NOAl Jazeera99%match91¢+10%
Israeli army: Warning residents of several towns in southern Lebanon and the western Bekaa Valley to evacuate within a 1000-meter radius
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher99%match91¢+10%
Israeli army: Soldier killed in fighting in southern Lebanon
NOaljazeera.com99%match90¢+11%
Israeli army orders residents to leave three towns in southern Lebanon
NOajenews99%match90¢+11%
BREAKING: Israeli army orders residents to leave three towns in southern Lebanon • • LIVE updates:
NOmarketnews_feed99%match90¢+11%
ISRAELI ARMY: WE DEMAND THAT RESIDENTS OF THE VILLAGES OF DEIR AZ-ZAHRANI, JARJOUH, AND SAJD IN SOUTHERN LEBANON EVACUATE AND STAY AWAY FOR A DISTANCE OF 1000 METERS ...
NOaljazeera.com99%match88¢+14%
WATCH: Israel orders forced evacuations, steps up demolitions in south Lebanon
NOalarabytv99%match90¢+11%
The Israeli army continues to expand its military operations in towns in southern Lebanon.
NOalarabytv99%match90¢+11%
The Israeli army continues to expand its military operations in towns in southern Lebanon.
NOcbsnews.com99%match90¢+11%
Israeli Army tells residents of more southern Lebanon villages to evacuate ahead of attacks
NOalarabytv99%match90¢+11%
The Israeli army continues to expand its military operations in towns in southern Lebanon.
NOiranintlbrk99%match89¢+12%
Israeli army issues evacuation warning for six villages in southern Lebanon
NOalarabiya99%match89¢+12%
The Israeli army has issued a warning to evacuate six Lebanese villages before carrying out operations against Hezbollah.
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher98%match92¢+9%
Israeli Chief of Staff from southern Lebanon: We continue to remove all threats to northern towns and deepen the dismantling of Hezbollah.
NOAl Jazeera99%match92¢+9%
Israeli Chief of Staff from southern #Lebanon: We will not withdraw from #Lebanon until security is guaranteed and a long-term solution is reached for the northern towns.
NOAl Hadath98%match90¢+11%
Israeli Chief of Staff from Lebanon: We will not leave until the long-term security of the northern communities is guaranteed.
NOtasnimarabic98%match89¢+12%
Breaking | Israeli Army: One soldier killed and six wounded in clashes in southern Lebanon
NOAl Hadath99%match89¢+12%
The Israeli army is requesting the evacuation of seven towns north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon.
NOmarketnews_feed99%match86¢+16%
ISRAELI ARMY REQUESTS RESIDENTS OF SOUTHERN LEBANON NOT TO RETURN TO 58 VILLAGES ...
NOfirstsquawk99%match86¢+16%
Israeli army requests residents of southern Lebanon not to return to 58 villages
NOfirstsquawk98%match82¢+22%
Israeli official: The army will continue operations in southern Lebanon against immediate threats in accordance with the understandings

Where does the news lean?

18YES220NO7neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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