Iran successfully targets shipping on...?June 29
ResolvedOutcome: No$70Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
18 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
#Info_IRNA | After Hormuz; Fragile calm in the oil market Following the recent agreement between Iran and the United States, the global energy market has entered a new phase that, although accompanied by a decrease in oil prices and the subsiding of concerns about supply shortages, according to an international oil and energy analyst, this development could not only change the equations of the oil and LNG market, but also redefine the geography of global energy security in the long term. @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: After Hormuz; Fragile Calm in the Oil Market How can the Islamabad Agreement redefine the global energy market? Following the recent agreement between Iran and the United States, the global energy market has entered a new phase that, although accompanied by a decrease in oil prices and the subsiding of concerns about supply shortages, according to an international oil and energy analyst, this development could not only change the equations of the oil and LNG market, but also redefine the geography of global energy security in the long term. @IRNA_1313]
US strikes Iran in retaliation for ship attack - what to know
CENTCOM released this video, which appears to be of the attack, with its statement being quoted. @VahidOnline [in reply to: CENTCOM: We targeted Iranian missile and drone depots and coastal radar sites Machine translation:
US strikes on Iran in response to attack on merchant ship Tampa, Florida — US Central Command (CENTCOM) launched strikes on Iran on June 26 in a strong response to yesterday’s attack on a merchant ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz. US aircraft targeted Iranian missile and drone depots and coastal radar sites after Iran unilaterally attacked the M/V Ever Lovely on June 25 with a drone attack.
The Singapore-flagged cargo ship was sailing along the coast of Oman when Iran attacked it. The attack Iranian forces’ unprovoked attacks on commercial shipping clearly violated the ceasefire. Furthermore, Iran’s dangerous behavior undermined freedom of navigation, as trade flows increasingly pass through this vital international trade corridor. CENTCOM forces continue to coordinate and support the safe passage of commercial vessels through the strait. The U.S. military remains ready and vigilant to ensure that all aspects of the agreement with Iran are being respected and implemented and remain fully in effect.
CENTCOM @VahidOnline]
A statement from the US military announces strikes against Iran in response to an attack on a commercial vessel. US Central Command (CENTCOM) forces conducted strikes against Iran on June 26 in a strong response to yesterday's attack on a commercial vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz. US aircraft targeted Iranian missile and drone storage sites, as well as coastal radar sites, after Iran struck the M/V Ever Lovely on June 25 with a single-pilot attack drone. The Singapore-flagged cargo ship was departing the Strait of Hormuz along the Omani coast at the time of the Iranian attack. This unprovoked aggression against commercial shipping by Iranian forces constituted a clear violation of the ceasefire. Moreover, Iran's dangerous behavior undermined freedom of navigation at a time when trade is increasing through this vital waterway for international commerce. US Central Command forces continue to provide coordination and support to ensure the safe passage of commercial vessels transiting the Strait. The U.S. military remains present and vigilant to ensure that all aspects of the agreement with Iran are adhered to, respected, and remain fully in force and in effect.
U.S. Military Strikes Missile and Drone Sites in Iran
IRGC Navy strikes US military targets in retaliation for attack on Iranian coastal areas • •
US Central Command announces targeting of Iranian sites in response to "targeting a commercial vessel while transiting the Strait of Hormuz"
Head of Desk 12
US official confirms: Attacks on Iran have ended
Pentagon says US 'conducted strikes against Iran' on Friday in response to strait of Hormuz ship attack
US military confirms: "We attacked missile and drone storage sites in Iran"
Iran attacked a tanker in Hormuz, Trump: "A stupid violation of the ceasefire agreement"
Trump on Truth Social: The Islamic Republic of Iran shot at least four One Way Attack Drones at Ships transversing the Strait of Hormuz. One of the Drones solidly hit the upper deck of a large and very expensive Cargo Carrying Ship. Damage was done, but the Ship was able to proceed on its way. We knocked down three other Drones. Obviously, this is a foolish violation of our Ceasefire Agreement
The Islamic Republic of Iran shot at least four One Way Attack Drones at Ships transversing the Strait of Hormuz. One of the Drones solidly hit the upper deck of a large and very expensive Cargo Carrying Ship. Damage was done, but the Ship was able to proceed on its way. We knocked down three other Drones. Obviously, this is a foolish violation of our Ceasefire Agreement. President DONALD J. TRUMP
Al Arabiya claims: The next round of US-Iran talks will be held in Switzerland on June 28 and 29 The next round of US-Iran talks will be technical, at the expert level, and with the presence of mediators. @IRIBNEWS_COM
Live from Al Arabiya | Al Arabiya sources reveal the next round of negotiations between the US and Iran will be on June 28 and 29 in Burgenstock
Al Arabiya sources: The next round of US-Iran negotiations will be on June 28 and 29 in Burgenstock.
Three Mitsui O.S.K. Lines-related vessels pass through the Strait of Hormuz as ships flee following US-Iran agreement
Iran Strikes Cargo Vessel in the Strait of Hormuz Putting Oil Trade on Edge. • The vessel reported being struck by a projectile while sailing approximately 7.5 nautical miles southeast of the Omani port of Dahit, according to maritime security officials across the Middle East.
Where does the news lean?
0YES55NO22neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
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