Iran successfully targets shipping on...?June 28
ResolvedOutcome: No$42Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
APNewsAlert: DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (@AP) — UK military says a tanker was struck by a projectile in the Strait of Hormuz as #Iran and US launch attacks in the region.
#Info_IRNA | After Hormuz; Fragile calm in the oil market Following the recent agreement between Iran and the United States, the global energy market has entered a new phase that, although accompanied by a decrease in oil prices and the subsiding of concerns about supply shortages, according to an international oil and energy analyst, this development could not only change the equations of the oil and LNG market, but also redefine the geography of global energy security in the long term. @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: After Hormuz; Fragile Calm in the Oil Market How can the Islamabad Agreement redefine the global energy market? Following the recent agreement between Iran and the United States, the global energy market has entered a new phase that, although accompanied by a decrease in oil prices and the subsiding of concerns about supply shortages, according to an international oil and energy analyst, this development could not only change the equations of the oil and LNG market, but also redefine the geography of global energy security in the long term. @IRNA_1313]
Statement by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs on the blatant violation of the Memorandum of Understanding on the End of the War by the United States The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran strongly condemns the airstrikes by the terrorist US army on Friday evening, July 26, 1405, on several points on the southern coast of Iran. These brutal attacks, which targeted Iranian coastal surveillance facilities, are a clear violation of Article 2, Paragraph 4 of the United Nations Charter and a clear violation of Paragraph 1 of the Memorandum of Understanding on the End of the War imposed on June 18, 1405. At the same time, the occupying and apartheid Zionist regime, in coordination with the United States, also attacked Lebanon, which is a clear violation of Paragraph 1 of the Memorandum of Understanding on the End of the War. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, while emphasizing Iran's inherent right to defend itself in accordance with Article 51 of the United Nations Charter, states that the Islamic Republic of Iran will defend the country's sovereignty, security, and national interests with all its might. The defensive strikes by the powerful armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran against targets related to the American aggressor forces were carried out on this basis. It is obvious that the responsibility for the consequences of this situation lies with the aggressor and covenant-breaking regime of the United States and the parties that in any way complicit in the commission of the American aggression against Iran. In this regard, the necessity of all countries located on the southern shore of the Persian Gulf adhering to the principle of good neighborliness and observing the fundamental principle of international law that prohibits the aggressor parties from using their territory and facilities to commit aggression against the Islamic Republic of Iran is emphasized. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs also calls on the Secretary-General of the United Nations, the Security Council, and other responsible international institutions not to be indifferent to the gross violation of the fundamental principles and rules of the United Nations Charter and international law by the United States and to fulfill their legal and moral responsibilities towards regional and international peace and security.
@TasnimNews
Head of Desk 12
US official confirms: Attacks on Iran have ended
Pentagon says US 'conducted strikes against Iran' on Friday in response to strait of Hormuz ship attack
Breaking news from Al Arabiya: Trump: An Iranian drone struck a cargo ship, and we shot down three more drones Trump: Iran violated the ceasefire by targeting ships Burhan: We will not participate in any negotiations that do not dismantle the militias The Israeli army announces control of the "Ali al-Taher" hill in southern Lebanon UN: More than 50,000 missing as a result of the Venezuelan earthquakes
Iran attacked a tanker in Hormuz, Trump: "A stupid violation of the ceasefire agreement"
Trump on Truth Social: The Islamic Republic of Iran shot at least four One Way Attack Drones at Ships transversing the Strait of Hormuz. One of the Drones solidly hit the upper deck of a large and very expensive Cargo Carrying Ship. Damage was done, but the Ship was able to proceed on its way. We knocked down three other Drones. Obviously, this is a foolish violation of our Ceasefire Agreement
The Islamic Republic of Iran shot at least four One Way Attack Drones at Ships transversing the Strait of Hormuz. One of the Drones solidly hit the upper deck of a large and very expensive Cargo Carrying Ship. Damage was done, but the Ship was able to proceed on its way. We knocked down three other Drones. Obviously, this is a foolish violation of our Ceasefire Agreement. President DONALD J. TRUMP
Al Arabiya claims: The next round of US-Iran talks will be held in Switzerland on June 28 and 29 The next round of US-Iran talks will be technical, at the expert level, and with the presence of mediators. @IRIBNEWS_COM
Live from Al Arabiya | Al Arabiya sources reveal the next round of negotiations between the US and Iran will be on June 28 and 29 in Burgenstock
About an hour ago, several ships defied the Revolutionary Guard's orders, failing to follow the designated route and instead anchoring off the coast of Dubai. The attack appears to be linked to this violation.
Al Arabiya sources: The next round of US-Iran negotiations will be on June 28 and 29 in Burgenstock.
Three Mitsui O.S.K. Lines-related vessels pass through the Strait of Hormuz as ships flee following US-Iran agreement
Iran Strikes Cargo Vessel in the Strait of Hormuz Putting Oil Trade on Edge. • The vessel reported being struck by a projectile while sailing approximately 7.5 nautical miles southeast of the Omani port of Dahit, according to maritime security officials across the Middle East.
Where does the news lean?
8YES93NO50neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
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