Iran successfully targets shipping on...?June 27
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$76Kas of
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This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
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25 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The strikes on Iranian missile and drone locations are intended to be a response to the Iranian attack on the commercial ship, and are not a re-start of major combat operations, a U.S. defense official said on Friday.
A social media post on Friday and later comments in the Oval Office were President Trump’s first public remarks on Iran since Thursday’s drone attack on a commercial ship in the Strait of Hormuz. Over the past week, Trump has made sporadic posts about the strait, including a declaration that there would not be tolls for passage through the waterway unless they were imposed by the United States.
Iran launched attacks on US sites in the Gulf in response to American strikes on the country, state media said Saturday, after Washington accused Tehran of attacking one of its cargo ships in the Strait of Hormuz. •
APNewsAlert: DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (@AP) — UK military says a tanker was struck by a projectile in the Strait of Hormuz as #Iran and US launch attacks in the region.
YESAPws99%match11¢+809%
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — UK military says a tanker was struck by a projectile in the Strait of Hormuz as Iran and US launch attacks in the region
A ship was targeted in the southern maritime corridor after violating orders from the Revolutionary Guard not to use the designated route.
British maritime authority: No environmental impact reported after oil tanker attacked in Strait of Hormuz
The US military announces strikes on Iranian targets in response to an attack on a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, confirming the operation is over and combat operations will not resume. (Al-Hadath TV)
Iran launched an attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting retaliatory strikes from the US military. Details of the first escalation since the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding between the US and Iran. The past few hours have witnessed an escalation between Iran and the US, the first since the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding between the two parties in Switzerland. It began with Washington accusing Tehran of attacking one of its commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, which prompted a US response in the form of strikes on several targets. This was followed by an Iranian response, with Tehran claiming to have attacked US sites, according to Iranian state media on Saturday. Iran considered the US strikes against its territory a "flagrant violation" of the Memorandum of Understanding signed between the two countries. Trump commented on this escalation, calling it a "clumsy violation," while his Vice President, Vance, warned that violence would be met with violence.
The US attacks Iran in retaliation for the attack on a freighter – Tehran calls it a “blatant violation”
Rouhollah Rahimpour, a journalist and political analyst, said about the Islamic Republic's attack on a commercial ship in the Strait of Hormuz and the US military response: "These attacks are expected to make the negotiation process more difficult."
US strikes Iran in retaliation for ship attack - what to know
CENTCOM announced that US forces targeted missile and drone depots, as well as coastal radar sites, of the Islamic Republic in southern Iran in response to the Islamic Republic's attack on a merchant ship in the Strait of Hormuz. Omid Memarian, a political analyst at the Dawn Institute, said that such attacks are unlikely to damage the understanding between Tehran and Washington because the political will in the United States is based on continuing negotiations.
US Central Command: We targeted missile and drone storage sites in Iran with a series of strikes in response to the attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz.
The US military said it had carried out strikes on Iran, including missile and drone storage sites and coastal radar stations, after an attack on a merchant ship passing through the Strait of Hormuz subscribe
"Once again, America attacked Iran in the midst of negotiations," said the head of Iran's parliamentary committee on national security. Ebrahim Azizi called the ceasefire violation reckless. The day before, the US launched strikes in the Strait of Hormuz. Six aircraft attacked four targets. The strikes, in particular, targeted radar installations and missile and drone storage facilities in Sirik. According to Trump, the attack was in retaliation for Tehran's alleged strike on a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran then launched strikes on US military positions in the region.
In response to the attack on the ship in the Strait of Hormuz - the US attacked Iran tonight: According to the US Central Command, missile storage sites, Iranian drones and radar sites were attacked [in reply to: Trump on yesterday's Iranian shooting at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz: "Iran fired at least four drones unilaterally at ships that were crossing the Strait of Hormuz. One of the drones hit the upper deck of a very large and expensive cargo ship with great force. Damage was caused, but the ship was able to continue on its way. We intercepted three more drones. This is clearly a foolish violation of our ceasefire agreement."]
The United States struck targets in Iran in response to the attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz
Live from Al Arabiya | US strikes against Iran in response to the attack on the Strait of Hormuz
The US military attacked missile and drone depots and coastal radar sites in Iran tonight following the tanker attack in Hormuz
US Central Command has released footage of the strike on the Iranian island of Sirik. It was previously reported that Iran repelled the attack. The US military launched strikes in response to yesterday's attack on a commercial vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The incident occurred several hours after the Iranian navy warned vessels not to use unauthorized routes in the waters. More news from IZ RU in MAX [in reply to: US forces attacked Sirik Island, Iran repelled the attack, Reuters quotes a statement from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. The response to the US attack will be "swift and decisive," they added. UPD: US strikes on Iran have ended, CNN reports, citing a US official. More news from IZ RU in MAX]
Iranian Revolutionary Guard: - The Revolutionary Guard Navy bombed positions of the terrorist US military in the Strait of Hormuz in response to the recent aggression. - The US regime, as usual, violated its commitments a few hours ago and launched an airstrike on the Islamic Republic's coast under a different pretext, namely, a ship crossing an unauthorized route in the Strait of Hormuz. - The US violation came after the Zionist entity violated the ceasefire in southern Lebanon. - We warn that if the aggression is repeated, our response will be much more severe. - According to Article 5 of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, the arrangements for monitoring traffic in the Strait of Hormuz are made with the Islamic Republic of Iran. - But America was trying to violate this commitment by inciting various parties, and the necessary response was given, and this will be the case from now on.
The IRGC responded to the US attack and stated that Iran had retaliated "In response to this aggression, the IRGC Naval Forces struck at the positions of the American terrorist army in the region... the US attempted to violate this commitment (truce - ed.), to which the necessary response was given and will be given," the statement said. Prior to this, US Vice President Vance warned that Washington would respond with strikes for strikes. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google. [in reply to: The US struck Iran in response to attacks on a merchant ship, - US Central Command Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.]
On Friday, the United States launched a new round of attacks against Iran, following a strike by Tehran against a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz the previous day. This latest indication suggests that the fragile ceasefire agreement between the two countries may be crumbling.
US Central Command: Our forces conducted airstrikes against Iran in response to yesterday's attack on a commercial cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz.
Where does the news lean?
73YES118NO71neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
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