Iran successfully targets shipping on...?July 7
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$72Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
18 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
IRANIAN STATE MEDIA SAYS SEVERAL PEOPLE INJURED BY SHRAPNEL FROM 'ENEMY PROJECTILE' AT SIRIK COMMERCIAL PIER
Live from Al Arabiya | The US military launches a series of attacks on Iranian sites, saying it is in response to attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz
Saudi Arabia strongly condemns Iran's targeting of the Saudi tanker "Widian" as it transited the Strait of Hormuz.
Live: Attacks launched ‘in response to Iranian attacks on three commercial vessels’
Live: CENTCOM launches 'powerful" airstrikes in response to Iranian attacks in Strait of Hormuz
Live: U.S. launches retaliatory strikes on Iran for attacks on commercial ships in Strait of Hormuz, CENTCOM says
YESNews99%match99¢+1%
The new US strikes were a response to Iranian attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, the Pentagon's Central Command says.
Saudi Arabia strongly condemns Iran's targeting of the Saudi tanker "Widian" as it transited the Strait of Hormuz.
GCC Secretary General Jassem Al-Budaiwi: Targeting the Saudi tanker "Widian" is a criminal Iranian act and a dangerous escalation Targeting the Saudi tanker "Widian" is a threat to maritime security and energy supplies Targeting the Saudi tanker "Widian" reflects Iran's continued hostile approach Al-Hadath Channel For more, follow us on YouTube More details on Al-Hadath Net
GCC Secretary General: - Targeting the Saudi tanker, the Wedian, is a criminal Iranian act and a dangerous escalation. - Targeting the Saudi tanker is a threat to maritime security and energy supplies. - Targeting the Saudi tanker reflects Iran's continued hostile approach.
Expressing regret over Qatar's accusations regarding an alleged incident against a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz Esmail Baghaei, spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, considered the accusations made by the Qatari Foreign Ministry against Iran regarding an alleged attack on a vessel associated with the country in the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, July 6, questionable and contrary to the principle of good neighborliness, and called such behavior unacceptable. @IRNA_1313
Saudi Foreign Ministry: Iran targeted a Saudi oil tanker as it crossed the Strait of Hormuz. #Breaking #Here_is_the_Kingdom
Saudi Arabia strongly condemns Iran's targeting of the Saudi tanker "Widian" as it transited the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia also condemns Iran's targeting of the Qatari tanker "Al-Rukayat."
Saudi Arabia strongly condemns Iran's targeting of the Saudi tanker "Widian" as it transited the Strait of Hormuz.
NBC News, citing a US official: Iran attacked two ships overnight with two missiles that traveled a short distance at high speed. Iran's attacks over the past 12 hours are aggressive and a direct violation of the Memorandum of Understanding. Our military shot down several drones launched by Iran today.
NBC News, citing a US official: Iran attacked two ships overnight with two missiles that traveled a short distance at high speed.
Reuters reported, citing a source familiar with the matter, that the Qatari liquefied natural gas ship, the "Rakiyat", which was targeted by the attack, was at risk of exploding due to a fire in the engine room.
Reuters reported, citing a source familiar with the matter, that the Qatari liquefied natural gas ship, the "Al-Ruqyaat", which was targeted by the attack, was at risk of exploding due to a fire in the engine room.
Where does the news lean?
20YES5NO22neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
gamma-backfill
Related markets
See all outcomes for Iran successfully targets shipping on...? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.