Insurrection Act invokedDecember 31
Open$161Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 16% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES16¢
NO84¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
0YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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