Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

OpenVol$18.0MDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES4¢
NO96¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOwashingtonpost.com99%match93¢+3%
CDC says 41 people across the U.S. are being monitored for hantavirus
NOfaytuksnetwork99%match91¢+5%
WHO confirms 6 laboratory-confirmed hantavirus cases linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship outbreak, out of 8 suspected cases reported so far. 3 deaths have been recorded, a 38% fatality rate.
NOalhadath99%match91¢+5%
A ship infected with the virus raises concerns: Hantavirus cases among passengers and 3 deaths. The World Health Organization reassures: There are no signs of a global pandemic.
NOnikkei99%match91¢+5%
Six people infected with hantavirus; Andean type with possible human-to-human transmission.
NOalarabiya99%match91¢+5%
The risk of a global outbreak is low... WHO: 6 confirmed cases of Hantavirus so far
NOIranian Media99%match91¢+5%
Where does hantavirus come from and how is it transmitted to humans? Head of the Center for Communicable Disease Management of the Ministry of Health: Hantavirus has so far been reported as sporadic cases associated with rodent populations around the world and has not been declared an emergency or pandemic. From 10,000 to more than 100,000 people worldwide are infected with this virus each year, with the highest incidence in the continents of Asia and Europe. The species identified so far has limited transmission between humans, and this transmission is associated with close and prolonged contact. This virus is transmitted to humans through contact with infected rodent urine, saliva, and feces. isna.ir/xdWn3G @isna94
NOiranintl99%match91¢+5%
An outbreak of a virus called Hantavirus on a cruise ship has killed three people so far. The World Health Organization announced that as of May 9, six confirmed cases and two probable cases of the virus had been identified. Nizamuddin Misaghi, an anesthesiologist and assistant professor at the University of Arizona, explains more about the virus.
NOIranian Media99%match91¢+5%
How dangerous is Hantavirus? Transmission routes and prevention The Ministry of Health, explaining the nature of "Hantavirus", its transmission routes, mortality rate, and the status of its spread in the world, announced that the disease is rare, transmitted by rodents, and so far there have been no signs of it becoming a global emergency or pandemic. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
NOFrench Media98%match91¢+5%
LIVE Hantavirus: six confirmed cases in total, WHO chief expected in the Canary Islands to coordinate evacuations
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV99%match91¢+5%
Canada: Six isolated for hantavirus; surveillance on flights and cruise ships Canadian authorities have increased the number of people in isolation due to potential #Hantavirus exposure to six, after detecting connections on flights and with the MV Hondius cruise ship. Joss Reimer, Director of Public Health, confirms that there are no symptoms. #teleSUR #GlobalHealth
NOwam.ae99%match91¢+5%
The World Health Organization confirms that the risk of a Hantavirus outbreak is very limited.
NOfnn.jp99%match91¢+5%
A total of six people have been infected with hantavirus; all are infected with the "Andes strain." One more man who disembarked from the cruise ship is suspected of being infected, according to the WHO.
NOalarabiya99%match91¢+5%
Reassuring messages from the World Health Organization: The current situation regarding the Hantavirus does not indicate the start of a pandemic or viral epidemic.
NOalarabiya99%match91¢+5%
WHO: Six new cases of Hantavirus reported on Friday
NOalarabiya99%match91¢+5%
Clinical pharmacology consultant for infectious diseases, Dr. Darrar Balawi: The likelihood of a "Hanta" pandemic is very low because human-to-human transmission of the virus is extremely rare.
NORussian Media99%match91¢+5%
As of May 8, six confirmed and two probable cases of hantavirus infection have been registered, the World Health Organization reported. All six confirmed cases have been identified as the "Andes" strain, the organization added. Two new suspected cases were reported in Spain and on the remote island of Tristan da Cunha in the South Atlantic. Three of those infected with hantavirus have died. Four patients remain hospitalized in South Africa, the Netherlands, and Switzerland. More IZ RU news in MAX
NOalarabiya99%match91¢+5%
The World Health Organization confirms: "6 cases of Hantavirus so far"
NOafp99%match90¢+7%
The World Health Organization insisted on Friday that there is a minimal risk from the hantavirus to the general public, as countries prepared to repatriate passengers stuck on a cruise ship hit by a deadly outbreak
NOafp99%match90¢+7%
The World Health Organization said on Friday the risk to the public of a deadly hantavirus strain in a cruise ship outbreak was minimal, as it spreads only through "very close contact"
NOskynewsarabia98%match90¢+7%
Does the Hanta outbreak represent the start of a new pandemic? The World Health Organization explains. #Hanta_virus #WorldHealthOrganization #SkyOnline #SkyNews %A9-%D9%88%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%A1-%D8%AC%D8%AF%D9%8A%D8%AF-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B5%D8%AD%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B9%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D8%AA%D9%88%D8%B6%D8%AD

Where does the news lean?

7YES46NO9neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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