GTA VI releasedSeptember 30
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Game developer Rockstar Games called the leak of GTA VI gameplay footage "heartbreaking" for the team. They added that the game is "almost ready" and will have an extended reveal on August 27. Rockstar apologized to players for the long wait for new details about the game. The company noted that work on GTA VI is nearing completion. The developer acknowledged that the materials leaked online contain spoilers and may affect players' experience of GTA VI.
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Related markets
See all outcomes for GTA VI released — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.