GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Open$763Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Game developer Rockstar Games called the leak of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) gameplay footage "heartbreaking" for the team. The company also announced that the game is "almost ready" and will have an extended reveal on August 27. This was stated in a statement on the X social media platform. "To say that the leak of Grand Theft Auto VI gameplay footage in this way was heartbreaking for our team is an understatement. Clearly, this was not how we wanted you to see the game after all these years," the statement read. Rockstar apologized to players for the long wait for new details about the game. The company noted that work on GTA VI is nearing completion. The developer acknowledged that the materials that have appeared online contain spoilers and may affect players' experience of GTA VI. RBC Channel on Max RBC App for iOS and Android
Why UBS Is Bullish On Take-Two Ahead Of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch
Where does the news lean?
2YES6NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 78% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.