Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Open$164Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES8¢
NO93¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
RATE FUTURES NOW PRICE FIRST FED CUT PUSHED OUT TO APRIL 2027
TRADERS PUSH OUT BETS ON FED RATE CUT TO APRIL 2027, RATE-FUTURES PRICING SHOWS
Traders push out bets on Fed rate cut to April 2027, according to Rate-Future pricing.
NOReuters99%match83¢+11%
Traders Push Out Bets on Fed Rate Cut to April 2027, Rate-Futures Pricing Shows
Live: In charts: Traders have priced next Fed rate cut for March 2027
Fed dot plot: no changes from Dec: FOMC expects 1 rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027
US rate futures expect Fed to resume rate cut either in December or January 2027 - Data.
NOReuters98%match83¢+11%
US Rate Futures Expect Fed to Resume Rate Cut Either in December or January 2027 -LSEG Data
NOFinancialJuice98%match72¢+28%
Fed's Goolsbee: Little to suggest labour market decaying so fast that the Fed could not have waited until early 2026 to cut rates again.
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match72¢+28%
MARKETS FEAR THE GUIDANCE, NOT THE RATE CUT Kalshi odds show a 97% chance of a 25 bps cut today, but the real risk is the Fed’s 2026 outlook. September projections signaled only one cut next year and a 3.4% year-end rate. Analysts expect guidance to turn neutral to hawkish as…
Where does the news lean?
1YES16NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.