EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Open$1Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 37% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES37¢
NO63¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
0YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.