Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of MexicoDecember 31, 2026
Open$39Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Sheinbaum presents two-year report and reaffirms continuity with López Obrador Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum presented her government report to more than 10,000 attendees at the VFG Arena in Jalisco, where she reaffirmed the continuity of the social project initiated by former President Andrés Manuel López Obrador: "The same project that stands with the people of Mexico." Among the achievements highlighted were a 65% reduction in homicides, the creation of two million jobs registered with the Mexican Social Security Institute (IMSS), and a $1.193 billion increase in remittances during the first quarter of 2026. What is your assessment of these two years in office? Comment and share. #Sheinbaum #Mexico #teleSUR
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum presents her second State of the Union address. She affirms that the country is moving forward with shared prosperity, independence, freedom, and dignity. #teleSUR #Mexico #Sep1
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See all outcomes for Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.