Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

OpenVol$11.4MDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES14¢
NO87¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOkucoin.com97%match81¢+6%
CLARITY Act Vote Delayed Until September: US Senate Postpones Crypto Market Structure Bill. • The CLARITY Act has become one of the most closely watched pieces of US crypto legislation in 2026 as lawmakers consider how dig
NOwublockchain98%match80¢+8%
Galaxy Research: Odds of CLARITY Act Passage This Year Decline • • Galaxy Research stated that the likelihood of the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, passing in 2026 is declining. Uncertainty surrounding the legislation has prompted the SEC and CFTC to accelerate administrative measures, including rulemaking, interpretive guidance, and regulatory exemptions, to provide clearer rules for digital asset issuance, trading, and market oversight. Galaxy noted that these measures could temporarily fill regulatory gaps while legislation remains stalled, but they lack the legal durability of formal legislation and could be revised or reversed by a future administration. As a result, they cannot replace a long-term regulatory framework established by Congress.
NOblog.1inch.io97%match78¢+10%
What’s happening with the CLARITY Act?. • The US Senate has pushed consideration of the CLARITY Act to September, narrowing the window for crypto market-structure legislation this year. For DeFi, 1inch Senior Legal Counsel Maylea Ma says an imperfect but protective framework is still preferable to continued regulatory uncertainty.
NOstockmktnewz96%match79¢+9%
The odds of the Crypto Clarity Act passing in 2026 continue to fall and now sit at just a 21% chance
NOibtimes.com96%match86¢
Senate Delays Voting Of Key Crypto Bill As Uncertainty Continues To Mount. • The U.S. Senate has delayed a vote on the CLARITY Act until September, complicating efforts to pass landmark cryptocurrency market structure legislation before the end of the year.
NOCoinbase CEO92%match86¢
The Senate didn't move the CLARITY Act this week. That's disappointing, but I appreciate @LeaderJohnThune's commitment to bringing the bill up in September. After all the work that's gone into this legislation, everyone wants it done so they can move forward. • • In the meantime, progress isn't standing still. Regulators continue to provide greater clarity. More companies are adopting stablecoins. Perpetual futures and tokenization of real world assets are growing like wildfire. More consumers are using crypto every day. The momentum behind this technology keeps growing—with or without a congressional calendar. • • Congress still has an important job to do. A clear federal market structure law will unlock more investment, more innovation, and more jobs in the United States while giving consumers the protections they deserve. • • Voters are watching closely to see who helps finish this, and who is a blocker. We're closer than we've ever been. Let's finish the job in September.
NOCoinbase CEO92%match86¢
The Senate didn't move the CLARITY Act this week. That's disappointing, but I appreciate @LeaderJohnThune's commitment to bringing the bill up in September. After all the work that's gone into this legislation, everyone wants it done so they can move forward. • • In the meantime, progress isn't standing still. Regulators continue to provide greater clarity. More companies are adopting stablecoins. Perpetual futures, prediction markets, and tokenization of real world assets are growing like wildfire. More consumers are using crypto every day. The momentum behind this technology keeps growing—with or without a congressional calendar. • • Congress still has an important job to do. A clear federal market structure law will unlock more investment, more innovation, and more jobs in the United States while giving consumers the protections they deserve. • • Voters are watching closely to see who helps finish this, and who is a blocker. We're closer than we've ever been. Let's finish the job in September.
NOPBS Reporter92%match86¢
NEW - CLARITY ACT and crypto. • • Its chances of passage just dropped in half, Sen. Tillis said to a few of us. • • (Now that it is being punted until at least September.)
NObarrons.com92%match86¢
Senate Delays Clarity Act Vote. Crypto’s Priority Is Now a Hail Mary.
NObarrons.com92%match86¢
Senate Delays Clarity Act Vote. Crypto's Priority Is Now a Hail Mary
NOdbws.io92%match86¢
Senate Delays Clarity Act Vote. Crypto's Priority Is Now a Hail Mary. -- Barrons.com
NOcrowdfundinsider.com96%match86¢
No Vote on the CLARITY Act as Bill is Pushed to September. • Hope springs eternal. Yesterday, Senate leadership decided they did not have sufficient support to hold a floor vote on the CLARITY Act, key crypto market infrastructure legislation that aims to protect consumers while enabling digital asset innovation. The Crypto Council for Innovation (CCI) expressed their... Read More
NOibtimes.com94%match75¢+15%
Clarity Act: The Biggest Crypto Bill in US History Is Stalling, and Trump's Wallet Is Why. • The CLARITY Act, the most sweeping crypto regulation Congress has ever advanced, is stuck on the Senate floor. The obstacle isn't Republicans.
NOcertik.com91%match73¢+18%
CLARITY Act Stalls as Regulators Move Ahead
NOforbes.com92%match73¢+18%
Crypto's Landmark CLARITY Bill Is Running Out Of Time
NOforbes.com95%match73¢+18%
Crypto’s Landmark CLARITY Bill Is Running Out Of Time. • Despite Trump’s promise to make the U.S. “the crypto capital of the planet,” a foundational bill establishing road rules remains seven votes short in the Senate with days left before the recess.
NONeo Founder95%match70¢+23%
The CLARITY Act has reportedly been removed from the current Senate schedule. • • That is disappointing, but it should not be confused with the end of the process. • • The important change has already happened: the debate is no longer about whether digital assets need a clear regulatory framework, but about what that framework should look like and how different interests can be balanced. • • Legislation moves slowly. Technology and markets do not. • • The delay matters, but the direction has not changed.
NOcoindesk98%match54¢+59%
JUST IN: According to Polymarket users, the CLARITY Act has less than a 50% chance of being signed into law by the end of 2026. • • Trump is meeting with senators today to help get the bill passed.
NOcrowdfundinsider.com99%match55¢+56%
CROWDFUNDINSIDER: "Last Chance" Crypto Supporter Senator Warns About the CLARITY Act Approval Delay
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Clarity Act Faces Shrinking Window as Aug. 7 Key Deadline Nears • • The Clarity Act was not signed into law on July 4 as White House adviser Patrick Witt had hoped, and its window to pass Congress before the midterms is narrowing. Three people following the process remain optimistic, with Senate staff still reconciling the Agriculture and Banking Committee versions. The next key date is Aug. 7, 2026, the Senate’s final session day before the summer break and campaign season.

Where does the news lean?

51YES46NO78neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

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