Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custodyDecember 31

OpenVol$338KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES3¢
NO97¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOIranian Media93%match93¢+4%
US court rejects Maduro's wife's release CBS News reported on Thursday that a New York court has rejected the release on bail of Venezuela's first lady, Celia Flores. isna.ir/xdXd8c @isna94
NORussian state TV97%match93¢+4%
A New York court has denied Maduro's wife house arrest, CBS News reports. Prior to this, it was reported that Cilia Flores may have suffered a heart attack in an American prison. Earlier today, it was reported that the United States has brought new charges against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, accusing them of conspiracy to commit torture. In addition, Maduro and Flores are charged with four more counts. They are accused of possessing automatic weapons and destructive devices, drug smuggling, and "conspiracy to commit narcoterrorism."
NORussian Media93%match93¢+4%
Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, have been charged in the United States with conspiring to torture political opponents and American citizens, Reuters reports, citing an updated indictment filed in Manhattan federal court. Prosecutors allege that Maduro and his wife were complicit in torture used to maintain their grip on power in Venezuela. They previously faced charges related to drug trafficking and weapons possession. American authorities and human rights activists have previously accused Venezuelan officials of torturing prisoners. However, this is the first time that criminal charges have been brought directly against Maduro in connection with such actions, Reuters notes. Maduro and his wife have been in custody in a Brooklyn pretrial detention center since January 2026. Photo: Adam Gray / Reuters RBC Channel on "Max"
NORussian Media93%match93¢+4%
Former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, have been charged in the United States with conspiring to torture political opponents and American citizens, Reuters reports, citing an updated indictment filed in Manhattan federal court. Prosecutors allege Maduro and his wife were involved in torture used to maintain power in Venezuela. They previously faced charges related to drug trafficking and weapons possession. American authorities and human rights activists have previously accused Venezuelan officials of torturing prisoners. However, this is the first time criminal charges have been brought directly against Maduro for such actions, Reuters notes. Maduro and his wife have been in custody in a Brooklyn detention center since January 2026. Photo: Adam Gray / Reuters
NOCourt Reporter92%match93¢+4%
Cilia Maduro was just denied bail; new indictment links her and Nicolas Maduro to torture. Inner City Press live tweeted, tried to ask US Attorney, What was Delcy Rodriguez' role? Since DOJ supports her immunity. A Cilia Maduro se le nego la libertad bajo fianza
NOReuters97%match93¢+4%
Cilia Flores, Wife of Venezuela’s Maduro, Denied Release From US Jail
NORussian Media94%match93¢+4%
The United States has accused Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, of conspiring to torture detainees, including US citizens, RIA Novosti reported, citing a court document. The document alleges that the leaders oversaw a system of repression based on violence against the political opposition, arbitrary detentions, and torture of prisoners. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram [in reply to: The United States will bring new charges against former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, CNN reports, citing sources. Nicolas Maduro and Cilia Flores have been in custody since January. According to CNN's sources, the former president and his wife will be charged with the alleged torture of Americans held in Venezuela. The investigation allowed for the possibility that charges could be brought against several more individuals. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram]
NOcbc.ca93%match93¢+4%
Live: Maduro, Flores face torture related charge
NOiranintlbrk96%match87¢+11%
CBS News: Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, were arrested in Caracas in a U.S. military operation in January. They are being held in a Brooklyn, New York, jail on drug trafficking and firearms charges, charges they both deny.
NOUkrainian Public Broadcaster92%match69¢+41%
The trial of ousted Venezuelan President Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin in June 2027. The judge in New York ruled, the BBC reports. The couple have been charged with crimes related to weapons and drugs. Maduro and Flores deny the charges. Maduro's lawyer has made it clear that he will argue in court that his client was protected by sovereign immunity - a legal principle that protects heads of state from prosecution. Outside, anti-war protesters condemned the US military operation against Maduro. They held signs reading "Freedom for President Maduro" and called the trial a "farce." But some Venezuelans, wrapped in national flags, supported the charges against Maduro. [in reply to: Venezuelan leader Maduro pleaded not guilty during a hearing in New York and called himself a "decent man" and the current president. His wife also pleaded not guilty, Reuters reports. The court has scheduled the next hearing in the case for March 17. The US accuses Maduro and his wife of organizing a cartel for drug trafficking to the US and of criminal conspiracy. Why Trump conducted a military operation in Venezuela and what it could bring to the people of the country and the region — we told in the material.]
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV95%match55¢+76%
Maduro and Cilia Flores appear in court in New York Judge Hellerstein proposed June 1, 2027, for the start of the trial, while the defense will seek immunity and dismissal of the case. Should the immunity of a sitting president be respected? #Venezuela #NicolásMaduro #CiliaFlores #teleSUR #July22
NOUkrainian Media97%match63¢+54%
Maduro trial set for June 1, 2027 A court has set June 1, 2027 as the start of the trial of former Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, who are accused of drug smuggling, the Associated Press reported on Wednesday. Judge Alvin Hellerstein set the date after considering the positions of the prosecution and the defense. ...
NORussian Media94%match58¢+67%
The trial of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife will begin on June 1, 2027, CNN reports. They were captured by the United States on January 3 and taken out of Venezuela. In the United States, the couple was accused of involvement in drug trafficking. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram [in reply to: Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, who is in custody in the United States, has published an appeal for the first time in a long time. The statement was also signed by his wife, Cilia Flores. "We have received your messages, letters, and prayers. Every word of love and support strengthens us spiritually. "We are fine, firm, calm, and in constant prayer," the publication stated. Mr. Maduro and his wife were captured and taken to the United States during the American Operation Absolute Resolve on the night of January 3. They have been charged with "narcoterrorism," drug smuggling, and weapons possession. Subscribe to Kommersant on Telegram | on MAX | Leave "boosts"]
NOIranian Media93%match82¢+18%
Trial date for Maduro and his wife announced The US Department of Justice has proposed a judicial plan to begin the trial of Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in June 2027. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir

Where does the news lean?

12YES19NO16neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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