Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
Open$80Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOAPws94%match95¢+1%
WELLINGTON, New Zealand (AP) — New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says he survived a leadership vote in his own party
ALERT: New Zealand Prime Minister Luxon says survived confidence vote
New Zealand's ruling party meets to decide PM Luxon's fate
Had the pleasure of receiving a telephone call from Rt Hon Christopher Luxon, Prime Minister of New Zealand, this afternoon. • • Our warm and productive conversation focused on Pakistan’s ongoing diplomatic outreach to promote peace and de-escalation in the Middle East. • • Grateful for Prime Minister Luxon’s appreciation and support for Pakistan’s sincere peace efforts. • • We also discussed ways to further strengthen Pakistan–New Zealand relations and acknowledged the valuable contributions of the Pakistani diaspora in New Zealand. • • I extended an invitation to Prime Minister Luxon to visit Pakistan. I look forward to welcoming him soon. @chrisluxonmp
Islamabad: 28 April 2026 • • Prime Minister Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif received a telephone call this afternoon, from the Prime Minister of New Zealand, Rt Hon Christopher Luxon. • • During their warm and cordial conversation, the two leaders exchanged views on the evolving situation in the Middle East. The Prime Minister briefed Prime Minister Luxon on Pakistan’s ongoing diplomatic outreach and efforts, to promote peace and de-escalation in the region. • • Prime Minister Luxon expressed deep appreciation for Pakistan’s constructive diplomatic initiatives, including its outreach to both Washington and Tehran, and conveyed his best wishes for the success of the mediation efforts. • • Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif thanked Prime Minister Luxon for his support and reaffirmed Pakistan’s unwavering commitment to advancing peace, dialogue, and stability in the region and beyond. • • The two leaders also agreed to work together to strengthen Pakistan-New Zealand bilateral relations, while expressing their satisfaction at the cordial and friendly ties between the two countries. In this regard, the two Prime Ministers lauded the role of the Pakistani diaspora in New Zealand. • • At the end of the conversation, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif extended a warm and cordial invitation to Prime Minister Luxon to undertake an official visit to Pakistan, at his earliest convenience. • Both leaders agreed to remain in close contact in the days ahead.
Where does the news lean?
1YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.