Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Open$31Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 34% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES34¢
NO66¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESReuters97%match26¢+31%
ECB: She Will Step Down From Her Position on 3 January 2027.
President Lagarde says “I will leave the ECB next year”… leaving room for mid-term resignation
President Lagarde: "I will leave the ECB next year"... Possibility of mid-term resignation (Roundup)
President Lagarde: "I will leave the ECB next year"... Possibility of mid-term resignation
NOReuters93%match70¢-6%
ECB’s Lagarde: Nothing to Report on Possible Departure From ECB
Lagarde: I will leave the presidency of the European Central Bank in 2027
ECB chief Christine Lagarde ‘ready to serve’ World Economic Forum
ECB President Christine Lagarde is in talks to lead the World Economic Forum
ECB chief Lagarde ‘ready to serve’ WEF, Swiss newspaper reports
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said she does not intend to leave her post until at least the end of 2026. "When storm clouds gather on the horizon, the captain stays on board," Ms. Lagarde told reporters at a press conference on July 23 (quoted by Bloomberg). Earlier, she said in an interview with Les Echos that she could resign early to work in French politics. Her term in office expires in October 2027. Heiko Becker / Reuters Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
You won’t see the back of me before year-end, says ECB’s Lagarde
Captain Lagarde says she will stay on ECB ship amid early exit talk
"You won't see me leave before 2027 (...); when there are clouds on the horizon, the captain stays on board," assures ECB President Christine Lagarde #BFM2
ECB's Lagarde Says She's Not Leaving Before 2027 -- WSJ
ECB’s Lagarde: Won't See Back Of Me Before 2027, “This Captain Is Staying On The Ship” • - Not Giving Any Forward Guidance, We're Providing Framework Guidance
ECB’s Lagarde: Won't See Back Of Me Before 2027, “This Captain Is Staying On The Ship”
Lagarde says 'this captain is staying on this ship'...only problem is that the ECB is akin to the Titanic at this point...
NOReuters93%match64¢+3%
Lagarde: Won’t See Back of Me Before 2027
ECB’s Lagarde Pushes Back on Euro Stablecoins, Warns of ‘Structural Weaknesses’
ECB's Lagarde Pushes Back on Euro Stablecoins, Warns of 'Structural Weaknesses'
Where does the news lean?
13YES54NO15neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.