Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Open$21Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 31% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES31¢
NO70¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
ECB chief Christine Lagarde ‘ready to serve’ World Economic Forum
ECB President Christine Lagarde is in talks to lead the World Economic Forum
ECB chief Lagarde ‘ready to serve’ WEF, Swiss newspaper reports
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said she does not intend to leave her post until at least the end of 2026. "When storm clouds gather on the horizon, the captain stays on board," Ms. Lagarde told reporters at a press conference on July 23 (quoted by Bloomberg). Earlier, she said in an interview with Les Echos that she could resign early to work in French politics. Her term in office expires in October 2027. Heiko Becker / Reuters Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
You won’t see the back of me before year-end, says ECB’s Lagarde
Captain Lagarde says she will stay on ECB ship amid early exit talk
"You won't see me leave before 2027 (...); when there are clouds on the horizon, the captain stays on board," assures ECB President Christine Lagarde #BFM2
ECB's Lagarde Says She's Not Leaving Before 2027 -- WSJ
ECB’s Lagarde: Won't See Back Of Me Before 2027, “This Captain Is Staying On The Ship” • - Not Giving Any Forward Guidance, We're Providing Framework Guidance
ECB’s Lagarde: Won't See Back Of Me Before 2027, “This Captain Is Staying On The Ship”
Lagarde says 'this captain is staying on this ship'...only problem is that the ECB is akin to the Titanic at this point...
NOReuters93%match64¢+8%
Lagarde: Won’t See Back of Me Before 2027
Euronews interview: ECB chief on rumors about political ambitions – “I am not a candidate”
ECB’s Lagarde Pushes Back on Euro Stablecoins, Warns of ‘Structural Weaknesses’
ECB's Lagarde Pushes Back on Euro Stablecoins, Warns of 'Structural Weaknesses'
ECB well placed to act as energy prices push up inflation, Lagarde says
JUST IN: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde says stablecoins have moved “from the periphery to the centre” of global monetary policy discussions.
Letter from the ECB President to Mr Rougé, Mr Bay, Mr Pimpie, Ms Furet, Mr Garraud and Ms Deloge, MEPs, on EU borrowing and fiscal matters
ECB's Lagarde flags euro-denominated stablecoins as financial stability risk, diverging from Bundesbank stance
NOReuters Business99%match67¢+3%
ECB's Lagarde again hints at completing term
Where does the news lean?
6YES49NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 54% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.