Bank of Japan Decision in July?50+ bps increase
ResolvedOutcome: No$180Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
49 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Bank of Japan emphasizes upward inflation risks, paving the way for interest rate hikes, but faces "resistance."
Bank of Japan keeps interest rates unchanged
Economy / Bank of Japan keeps interest rates unchanged
The Bank of Japan decided to keep its policy interest rate at around 1.0%. Regarding the impact of exchange rates, its outlook report states that it "will act to push up prices across a wide range of commodities."
Monetary policy: Japan's central bank keeps interest rates stable – signal for increases
Bonds, 12:50 PM: Long-term interest rates at 2.800%; Bank of Japan keeps rates unchanged, "no surprise."
Bank of Japan maintains base interest rate at 1%... raises economic growth forecast to 0.6% (Roundup)
The Bank of Japan kept its policy interest rate unchanged at around 1.0%, while revising its GDP forecast for fiscal year 2014 upward and its inflation forecast downward.
[Bank of Japan Press Conference Live] Governor Kazuo Ueda to hold press conference; policy interest rate to remain unchanged at 1.0%; explanation of the decision, etc. (July 31, 2026, 3:30 PM - LIVE broadcast)
Like the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan is keeping its interest rates unchanged.
The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate steady on Friday, as it warned that underlying inflation in the country could exceed its 2% target. • • Read more on CNBC:
Bank of Japan postpones interest rate hike; policy rate to be maintained at around 1.0%, needs to assess the impact of the Kumamoto earthquake.
Bank of Japan keeps main interest rate unchanged
The Bank of Japan decided to keep its policy interest rate unchanged... Eight members voted in favor, but Policy Board member Hajime Takada opposed, saying "we have entered a new phase."
The Bank of Japan will keep its policy interest rate unchanged at around 1.0% to assess the impact of the June rate hike.
Bank of Japan holds policy rate at 1% in 8-1 vote; says may raise rates as needed • The Bank of Japan left its policy rate at 1% on Friday in an 8-1 vote, matching expectations; last month it raised the rate to the highest level since 1995. Board member Takata dissented, calling for a 25bp hike and saying conditions have entered a new phase that requires flexible action to address upside price risks and shifting overseas financial conditions. The BOJ said it will continue to raise rates as warranted by economic and price developments and financial conditions, that underlying inflation is close to 2%, and that financial conditions remain accommodative. In its latest outlook the BOJ cut FY2026 core CPI to 2.5% from 2.8% and nudged FY2026 GDP growth to 0.6% from 0.5%. • (
BOJ keeps rates steady, signals further rate hikes
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BoJ: Will Consider Timing, Pace of Rate Hikes While Examining Likelihood of Realising Baseline Scenario and Risks, with Eye on Impact of Middle East Developments, the Expansion in AI Demand and Developments in Foreign Exchange
The Bank of Japan has decided to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at 1.0% while assessing economic and price conditions.
The Bank of Japan has decided to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at around 1%.
[Policy interest rate kept unchanged at 1.0%] Bank of Japan Governor Ueda is scheduled to hold a press conference at 3:30 p.m. today to explain the decision.
[Breaking News] Bank of Japan decides to keep policy interest rates unchanged at Monetary Policy Meeting
The Bank of Japan kept its policy interest rate unchanged at around 1.0%, while assessing the impact of last month's rate hike.
ALERT: BoJ maintains policy rate at 1% by 8-1 vote
The Bank of Japan kept its policy interest rate unchanged, while assessing the impact of the previous rate hike in June.
*BOJ decides to keep policy interest rates unchanged - only Takata votes for raising interest rates *BOJ HOLDS INTEREST RATES, WITH TAKATA VOTING FOR HIKE
[Breaking News] Bank of Japan to keep policy interest rate unchanged at "around 1%" at policy meeting; Governor Ueda to hold afternoon press conference amid growing expectations of yen-buying intervention.
The Bank of Japan decided to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at 1.0%, while assessing economic and price conditions.
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Bank of Japan maintains current monetary policy with majority vote: 8 in favor, 1 against.
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The Bank of Japan has decided to maintain its current monetary policy.
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its policy interest rate unchanged, while assessing the impact of last month's rate hike. The yen could weaken depending on the governor's remarks.
The question is how well the government and the Bank of Japan are communicating. Intervention plus a dovish meeting just doesn't add up. However, Governor Ueda doesn't seem like the type of gentleman to suddenly change his stance. The contradictions between the government and the Ministry of Finance regarding their policy direction haven't been resolved either. Currently, the exchange rate is seeing the intervention as a temporary effect, leading to a sell-off of the yen, while stocks are rising, seeing the intervention as compensation for not raising interest rates.
The Bank of Japan will hold its Monetary Policy Meeting today. The policy interest rate is likely to remain unchanged as the government assesses the impact of the June interest rate hike.
Bank of Japan Policy Meeting: Likely to keep policy interest rates unchanged; assessing the impact of the previous rate hike.
The Bank of Japan is reportedly considering keeping its policy interest rate unchanged, while maintaining its policy of raising interest rates to ensure price stability. The monetary policy meeting will be held from the 30th.
The Bank of Japan will hold a policy meeting this week; it is highly likely that the policy interest rate will remain unchanged as it assesses the impact of any interest rate hikes.
The Bank of Japan is likely to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at its Monetary Policy Meeting this Thursday.
Bank of Japan to keep key rate unchanged at next week's policy meeting: sources
Bank of Japan to keep policy interest rate unchanged at July meeting; considering upward revision of FY2026 growth rate
Bank of Japan to keep key rate at next week's policy meeting: sources
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at its July meeting, but is considering revising its FY2026 growth forecast upward.
Reuters has once again published an exclusive report from sources close to the Bank of Japan. The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged and reiterate its upward 2% inflation scenario, but it will also state that "the risks surrounding the imminent oil-driven price shock have receded compared to April," giving the impression of a somewhat dovish stance. It seems that government pressure is still ongoing.
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BOJ LIKELY TO MAINTAIN POLICY GUIDANCE PLEDGING TO KEEP RAISING RATES -REUTERS SOURCES
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Exclusive-BoJ Likely to Maintain Policy Guidance Pledging to Keep Raising Interest Rates, Sources Say
All experts expect the Bank of Japan to maintain its July interest rate policy; December is the most likely month for an additional rate hike.
All experts expect the Bank of Japan to maintain its July interest rate policy; December is the most likely month for a further rate hike, according to a survey of experts.
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*BOJ WIDELY SEEN HOLDING INTEREST RATES IN JULY AFTER JUNE HIKE
*BOJ to keep interest rates unchanged at July meeting, sources say - Reuters *BOJ SET TO HOLD INTEREST RATES AT JULY MEETING, SOURCES SAY - RTRS
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BoJ Set to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged in July but Maintain Policy Guidance Pledging to Continue Raising Rates, Sources Say
Where does the news lean?
2YES57NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
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