Bank of England decision in July?50+ bps increase
ResolvedOutcome: No$11Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Bank of England keeps policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting
Bank of England holds UK interest rate steady at 3.75% — but policymakers see upside inflation risk
Bank of England keeps policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting.
Bank of England holds UK interest rate steady at 3.75% — but policymakers see upside inflation risk
BOE HOLDS RATES, HAWKISH SPLIT • • The Bank of England kept its key rate unchanged at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote, with three policymakers backing a hike and none supporting a cut. • • The BOE expects inflation to peak at 3.2% in Q4 before returning to target in early 2028, while warning it could reach 4.5% if oil stays above $100. Policymakers said rate cuts remain possible if inflation risks ease.
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Rpt-Top Alert-Bank of England Policymakers Vote 6-3 to Hold Rates at 3.75% (Reuters Poll: 7-2 Vote to Hold at 3.75%)
Bank of England policymakers keep rates on hold but more back hike
NOReuters92%match100¢
Bank of England Policymakers Vote 6-3 to Hold Rates at 3.75% (Reuters Poll: 7-2 Vote to Hold at 3.75%)
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Bank of England:at Its Meeting Ending on 29 July 2026, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Voted by a Majority of 6-3 to Maintain Bank Rate at 3.75%
Live: Bank of England expected to do 'hawkish hold' on interest rates
The Bank of England is likely to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting.
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Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on July 30 All 70 Economists Said
Over here, Bank of England rate-setter Alan Taylor said on Tuesday that an “extended hold” for interest rates was the right response to rising price pressur
Where does the news lean?
0YES15NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for July 30, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
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See all outcomes for Bank of England decision in July? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.