Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?

OpenVol$73KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES3¢
NO97¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOtheguardian.com93%match90¢+8%
Andrew and Tristan Tate to remain in jail until next extradition hearing
NOft.com95%match91¢+7%
Andrew Tate’s extradition challenge could last almost a year, lawyers say
YESfranceinfo.fr91%match11¢-73%
Live: Andrew and Tristan Tate, two British-American brothers and influencers, were arrested Saturday in Miami at the request of the United Kingdom, which is seeking their extradition...
NOafp95%match88¢+10%
Tate brothers to fight UK extradition after arrest in Miami • • Influencer Andrew Tate and his brother Tristan will fight extradition to Britain on sex crime charges, their lawyer has said, slamming their recent arrest in Miami as "politically motivated."
NOcbseveningnews93%match89¢+9%
Influencer brothers Andrew and Tristan Tate will fight extradition to the United Kingdom, their lawyer told a U.S. magistrate in Miami on Monday, after the brothers were arrested to face rape and sex trafficking charges.
NOnews.sky.com91%match91¢+7%
Andrew and Tristan Tate 'will fight extradition' to UK, brothers' lawyer says
YESalhadath97%match14¢-79%
Andrew Tate and his brother Tristan were arrested in the United States at the formal request of Britain after facing new criminal charges, with the aim of extraditing and prosecuting them.
YESalarabiya97%match14¢-79%
Andrew Tate and his brother Tristan were arrested in the United States at the formal request of Britain after facing new criminal charges, with the aim of extraditing and prosecuting them.
NOthetimes.com92%match86¢+13%
Andrew and Tristan Tate could fight extradition in US courts

Where does the news lean?

4YES7NO2neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andrew Tate is extradited to the United Kingdom between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United Kingdom” means Tate is physically transferred to U.K. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Tate otherwise enters U.K. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.K. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Tate is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.K. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andrew Tate, the governments of the United States and United Kingdom, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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