Amazon 2026 capex above ___?$190 billion
Open$5Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 94% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES94¢
NO6¢
as of
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
$54.2 billion is what Amazon spent on capex in Q2 2026 alone, up from $32.1 billion a year earlier, citing higher memory costs among the drivers. • • Trailing free cash flow has now turned negative, a $7.6 billion outflow. • • None of that burden lands on a Filecoin storage bill.
The four largest hyperscalers are expected to spend ~$725 billion on CAPEX in 2026, up ~77% from last year per my partners below • • Amazon $AMZN $200B - $220B • Microsoft $MSFT ~$175B • Meta Platforms $META $130B - $145B • Google $GOOGL $195B - $205B
Amazon Confirms Cloud Demand and Increases Capital Expenditures to $220 Billion This Year
Amazon Surpasses $200 Billion in Quarterly Revenue for the First Time... Raises Capital Expenditure on Soaring Memory Prices (Roundup 2)
Amazon's AWS sales grew 37% year-over-year in the quarter, and the company also raised its capital expenditure forecast for this year by $20 billion. The company's stock rose more than 8% in after-hours trading.
Andy Jassy said Amazon will spend $220 billion this year—and still won’t have enough capacity to meet demand
Amazon Hits All-Time High Revenue, Raises This Year's Capital Expenditures from $200 Billion to $220 Billion
Amazon hikes 2026 capex to $220 billion due to higher memory costs
AMAZON $AMZN HIKES 2026 CAPEX TO $220B ON HIGHER MEMORY COSTS • • Capital expenditures hit $54.2B in the June quarter, up from $32.1B a year ago. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow swung to an outflow of $7.6B from an inflow of $18.2B a year earlier. • • CEO Andy Jassy says AWS is "booming," with cloud revenue up 37% year over year to $42.2B, the unit's fastest growth since 2021. • • AWS backlog reached $496B in the quarter, and the AI and homegrown chips units each passed a $25B annual revenue run rate.
*AMAZON TO SPEND $220 BILLION ON CAPEX IN 2026, MOSTLY AI: JASSY • • Another capex increase, and this time with free cash flow deeply negative
Amazon $AMZN just said that its CAPEX spend in 2026 is expected to reach about $220 Billion on higher memory costs
YESNews97%match98¢-4%
*AMAZON TO SPEND $220 BILLION ON CAPEX IN 2026, MOSTLY AI: JASSY
Amazon hikes 2026 capex to $220 billion due to higher memory costs
YESReuters96%match98¢-4%
Amazon CEO - We Now Believe We Will Spend Approximately $220 Billion Dollars in Cash Capex in 2026, Due to the Higher Cost of Memory
YESReuters97%match98¢-4%
Amazon CEO - 2026 Capex Plans Unchanged About $200 Billion - Conf. Call
Where does the news lean?
16YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
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