What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↓ 70,000
Open$79Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 61% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES61¢
NO40¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
QCP: Bitcoin’s Current Rally Is Backed by Solid Spot Support • • QCP Capital reported that from an underlying market structure perspective, BTC's current rally from $63,500 to above $80,000 is backed by solid spot support. The rally from $63,500 has been supported by ~$2.8B in spot ETF inflows, while BTC-denominated futures open interest fell from ~646k BTC in mid-August to ~588k BTC alongside subdued funding rates, indicating that short covering and spot buying—rather than aggressive leveraged longs—led the move. • • Macro conditions remain complex: July Core PCE held at 3.3% YoY with markets pricing a ~35% probability of a 25bp September hike, while the US Treasury's plan to double long-end liquidity buybacks to at least $4B per operation from Sept 9 and strong Nvidia earnings have buoyed risk sentiment.
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 58% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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