When will Trump pardon anyone?September 30
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 56% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES56¢
NO44¢
as of
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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