Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? the favorite at 10%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

YESnypost.com99%match22¢-55%
Xi’s anti-corruption crackdown sentences former Chinese defense ministers to death
YESKazinform99%match12¢-17%
In China, two former defense ministers were sentenced to death for accepting bribes. A Chinese military court has sentenced two former Chinese defense ministers, Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, to death with a two-year reprieve on corruption charges. Those convicted are also deprived of political rights for life, and their property will be confiscated.
YESosint61399%match12¢-17%
A Chinese military court handed death sentences with two-year reprieves to ex-defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu on graft charges. Neither will be eligible for parole or further commutation once the sentences convert to life imprisonment. - Reuters

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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