Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? the favorite at 9%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NOBloomberg98%match87¢+5%
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency proposed rules that would restrict companies from launching branded stablecoins through white-label platforms and offering rewards tied to them
NOWatcher.Guru99%match87¢+5%
JUST IN: US federal banking regulator proposes rule to restrict stablecoin rewards.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if X launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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