Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
Open2as of
Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 28% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Tether just released its quarterly USDT attestation for Q2 2026. • • Tether had a great second quarter of 2026, with ~1.5B in net operating profit, despite highly volatile global markets. • • USDT user base continued to grow, reaching the new all-time-high of 650M+, with the widest surge across all emerging markets, fueled by the continued period of geopolitical uncertainty. • • Without a doubt, Tether continues to deliver financial inclusion in the developing world like no other company or organization ever has in the history of humanity; we're all incredibly proud of this achievement. • Most of the financial industry today is so excited for overly-inflated AI stock valuations, like moths to a flame. But at Tether we keep dreaming of a stable Society that drives both financial and intelligence inclusion for the 4 billion people left behind. • • Highlights as of 30 June 2026: • * ~1.5B in net operating profits for Q2 2026. • * ~184.6B total issued USDT, end of Q2 2026. • * ~4.1B excess reserves, on top of the 100% reserves in liquid assets that back all issued tokens, end of Q2 2026. • • These results show that Tether has the liquidity, discipline and scale to remain resilient across market cycles while continuing to serve hundreds of millions of users around the world. • • Thank you very much for the continued support
Tether just released its quarterly USDT attestation for Q2 2026. • • Tether had a great second quarter of 2026, with ~1.5B in net operating profits, despite highly volatile global markets. • • USDT user base continued to grow, reaching the new all-time-high of 650M+, with the widest surge across all emerging markets, fueled by the continued period of geopolitical uncertainty. • • Without a doubt, Tether continues to deliver financial inclusion in the developing world like no other company or organization ever has in the history of humanity; we're all incredibly proud of this achievement. • Most of the financial industry today is so excited for overly-inflated AI stock valuations, like moths to a flame. But at Tether we keep dreaming of a stable Society that drives both financial and intelligence inclusion for the 4 billion people left behind. • • Highlights as of 30 June 2026: • * ~1.5B in net operating profits for Q2 2026. • * ~184.6B total issued USDT, end of Q2 2026. • * ~4.1B excess reserves, on top of the 100% reserves in liquid assets that back all issued tokens, end of Q2 2026. • • These results show that Tether has the liquidity, discipline and scale to remain resilient across market cycles while continuing to serve hundreds of millions of users around the world. • • Thank you very much for the continued support
Tether just released its quarterly USDT attestation for Q2 2026. • • Tether had a great second quarter of 2026, with ~1.5B in net operating profits, despite highly volatile global markets. • • USDT user base continued to grow, reaching the new all-time-high of 650M+, with the widest surge across all emerging markets, fueled by the continued period of geopolitical uncertainty. • • Without a doubt, Tether continues to deliver financial inclusion in the developing world like no other company or organization ever has in the history of humanity; we're all incredibly proud of this achievement. • Most of the financial industry today is so excited for overly-inflated AI stock valuations, that it reminds me of moths to a flame. But at Tether we keep dreaming of a stable Society that drives both financial and intelligence inclusion for the 4 billion people left behind. • • Highlights as of 30 June 2026: • * ~1.5B in net operating profits for Q2 2026. • * ~184.6B total issued USDT, end of Q2 2026. • * ~4.1B excess reserves, on top of the 100% reserves in liquid assets that back all issued tokens, end of Q2 2026. • • These results show that Tether has the liquidity, discipline and scale to remain resilient across market cycles while continuing to serve hundreds of millions of users around the world. • • Thank you very much for the continued support
Tether just released its quarterly USDT attestation for Q2 2026. • • Tether had a great second quarter of 2026, with ~1.5B in net operating profits, despite highly volatile global markets. • • USDT user base continued to grow, reaching the new all-time-high of 650M+, with the widest surge across all emerging markets, fueled by the continued period of geopolitical uncertainty. • • Without doubts Tether continues to deliver financial inclusion in the developing world as no other company or organization ever did in the history of humanity; we're all incredibly proud of this achievement. • Most of the financial industry today is so excited for overly-inflated AI stock valuations, that it reminds me of moths to the flames. But at Tether we keep dreaming of a stable Society that drives both financial and intelligence inclusion for the 4 billion people left behind. • • Highlights as of 30 June 2026: • * ~1.5B in net operating profits for Q2 2026. • * ~184.6B total issued USDT, end of Q2 2026. • * ~4.1B excess reserves, on top of the 100% reserves in liquid assets that back all issued tokens, end of Q2 2026. • • These results show that Tether has the liquidity, discipline and scale to remain resilient across market cycles while continuing to serve hundreds of millions of users around the world. • • Thank you very much for the continued support
USDT, USDC, USD1: The Stablecoin Market Share War. • USDT dominates with 73% of retail stablecoin transactions. But the market is fragmenting by use case, geography, and blockchain.
What is this event about?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.
The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.
This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.