Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by August 31?

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Market pricing makes ↓ 1.8M the favorite at 38% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

↓ 1.8MIranian Media96%match22¢+73%
Dollar price forecast tomorrow, Thursday, August 12th / Will the dollar fall? The foreign exchange market closed today with a general decline in all currencies, and the US dollar ended its work at 186,850 Tomans. Analysts, by examining the downward trend and trading volume, drew a dollar price forecast for tomorrow, Thursday, August 12th. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
↓ 1.8MIranian Media95%match78¢-21%
Dollar price forecast for tomorrow, Wednesday, August 11 / Will the dollar free fall? The dollar price was recorded at 187,400 Tomans in the market today, which was 2,200 Tomans higher than the previous day; but signs of demand adjustment and the possibility of profit-taking by traders have limited the dollar price forecast for tomorrow, Wednesday, August 11, to a range of 186,500 to 187,500 Tomans. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
↓ 1.7MIranian Media95%match86¢+13%
Dollar price forecast for tomorrow, Wednesday, August 11 / Will the dollar free fall? The dollar price was recorded at 187,400 Tomans in the market today, which was 2,200 Tomans higher than the previous day; but signs of demand adjustment and the possibility of profit-taking by traders have limited the dollar price forecast for tomorrow, Wednesday, August 11, to a range of 186,500 to 187,500 Tomans. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
↓ 1.7Meghtesadonline93%match85¢+14%
Donald Trump attacked Iran's national currency in a post, claiming: "The result of 51 years of bad behavior! Iran has no money." The chart claims that the value of one million Iranian rials has dropped from about $1.11 at the beginning of 2025 to about 53 cents in the third quarter of 2026.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

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