Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? the favorite at 5%, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NOskynewsarabia91%match93¢+2%
Anwar Gargash, diplomatic advisor to the President of the UAE: The Gulf Cooperation Council was established to enhance the security and stability of its member states, and today, elevating the Council's collective cooperation has become an urgent necessity. #SocialSky
NOiranintlbrk94%match93¢+2%
Anwar Gargash, Diplomatic Advisor to the President of the United Arab Emirates: The Gulf Cooperation Council was established to strengthen the security and stability of its member states, and today, promoting the collective cooperation of this council has become an urgent necessity.
NOSky News Arabia94%match93¢+2%
Anwar Gargash, diplomatic advisor to the President of the UAE: The Gulf Cooperation Council was established to enhance the security and stability of member states, and today enhancing collective cooperation within the Council has become an urgent necessity.
Strengthening the unified stance of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states remains paramount in confronting the threats to our nations' security and stability. There is no alternative to rising to the level of these challenges by uniting our ranks, defending our sovereignty and preserving our achievements, based on our shared destiny and common interests. This is the message of the UAE and its leadership.
NOSaudi Press Agency (SPA)99%match90¢+6%
The Council of Ministers expressed its support for the outcomes of the ministerial meeting between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and the United States of America, which included reaffirming the strategic partnership between the two sides and continuing coordination and consultation on international issues of mutual interest, contributing to supporting regional security and stability and protecting common interests. #SPA
The Gulf Cooperation Council condemns the treacherous Iranian attacks on Bahrain and affirms its rejection of any threat to its security and stability.
NOBahrain News Agency - BNA99%match93¢+2%
The Ministry of Justice, Islamic Affairs and Endowments chairs the annual meeting of the Undersecretaries of Ministries of Justice of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries.
NOalarabytv99%match79¢+20%
Gulf Cooperation Council leaders are holding a consultative meeting in Jeddah to discuss regional challenges, including the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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