Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Open1as of
Market pricing makes Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? the favorite at 5%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
This Dem resolution calling on President Trump not to grant a Presidential pardon or any form of clemency for Ghislane Maxwell will be UC’d on the Senate floor this afternoon • • I’m told it’s expected to pass without objections • •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.